Effects of social distancing and isolation on epidemic spreading modeled via dynamical density functional theory

摘要

For preventing the spread of epidemics such as the coronavirus disease COVID-19, social distancing and the isolation of infected persons are crucial. However, existing reaction-diffusion equations for epidemic spreading are incapable of describing these effects. In this work, we present an extended model for disease spread based on combining a susceptible-infected-recovered model with a dynamical density functional theory where social distancing and isolation of infected persons are explicitly taken into account. We show that the model exhibits interesting transient phase separation associated with a reduction of the number of infections, and allows for new insights into the control of pandemics. Existing models describing epidemic spreading need an update to capture effects of social distancing and isolation. An extended model is proposed by te Vrugt et al. by drawing an analogy between persons and diffusing particles with repulsive interactions that correspond to social distancing.