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首页> 外文期刊>Journal of Water Resources Research >Runoff Trend and Natural Driving Force in the Upper Jinsha River
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Runoff Trend and Natural Driving Force in the Upper Jinsha River

机译:径流趋势和上部金沙河的自然驱动力

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Based on the runoff, air temperature and precipitation data from 1961 to 2015 at the major stations on the upper Jinsha River, the annual and monthly variation characteristics and correlations among temperature, precipitation and runoff were analyzed. The results show a temperature rising trend which is gradually weakening from upstream to downstream. Most of the sudden changes in temperature occurred between 2002 and 2005, and the changes upstream are earlier than those downstream. The annual precipitation shows an increasing trend which is obvious in the upper and lower river sections, and not significant in the middle. The precipitation increase in the upper and middle sections from November to April is greater than that in summer and autumn months, and is significantly increased from March to May. In the lower river section, the precipitation shows a trend of slight increase from March to May, and in the other months there exist no obvious trends of decrease or increase. The sudden change points of precipitation occurred between 1997 and 1999. The trend of change in annual runoff is not obvious. The runoff increases significantly in the upper section from November to April, but not obviously in the remaining months. In the middle section, the increase from November to April is greater than that in summer and autumn, but the increase is not obvious. The runoff in the middle section shows trend of insignificant increase from February to May, and increases or decreases alternately in the other months. The sudden change points of runoff were between 2002~2003. On the upper Jinsha River, the closer the area to the source of the Yangtze River, the closer the relationship between precipitation and temperature. The increase of runoff is caused jointly by rising temperature and the precipitation, and is mainly affected by the change of precipitation in the lower section.
机译:基于1961年至2015年的径流,空气温度和降水数据在锦沙江上部的主要站,分析了温度,降水和径流的年度和月度变化特性和相关性。结果表明,温度上升趋势,从上游逐渐减弱。大部分突然发生的温度变化发生在2002年至2005年之间,上游的变化比下游更早。年降水量表明,上下河段中显而易见的趋势,中间和中部不显着。 11月至4月的上部和中间部分的降水量大于夏季和秋季的降水量,从3月至5月明显增加。在下河段,降水显示从3月到5月的略微增加,并且在其他几个月内,没有明显的减少或增加趋势。 1997年至1999年期间发生了突然的降水点。年径流变动趋势并不明显。从11月到4月的上部,径流量显着增加,但在剩下的几个月中显然没有明显。在中间部分,11月至4月的增加大于夏季和秋季的增加,但增长并不明显。中间部分的径流显示了2月至5月的微不足道的趋势,在其他几个月内交替增加或减少。径流的突然变化点在2002〜2003之间。在上部金沙河上,越靠近长江来源的地区,沉淀和温度之间的关系越近。径流的增加是通过上升温度和沉淀的共同引起的,主要受到下部降水变化的影响。

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