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Investigation of Climate Change Impact on Meteorological Data and Floods: A Case of Karacam, Turkey

机译:气候变化对气象数据和洪水影响的调查 - 以土耳其卡拉姆氏菌

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Turkey is among countries under influence of climate change as a result of global warming. These changes in climate cause large imbalances in temperature degrees and precipitation levels. While these imbalances in precipitation regimes cause drought in some regions, they cause sudden and severe precipitation in some regions. Therefore, in this study, effect of climate change on meteorological data and floods in Karacam region of Sakarya province was investigated. Meteorological data of the region used in this study was taken from General Directorate of Meteorology (DMI). Meteorological data are taken daily from station 17069 (10.01.2014 - 09.30.2019). Innovative Trend Analysis was used in analysis of meteorological data, and 2-dimensional flood propagation maps were obtained by using Hec-RAS software in flood analysis. As a result of analysis made, it was observed that climate change resulting from global warming has an impact on the meteorological data of Karacam region in Turkey, which is the study area. Because, it is observed that there is a generally downward trend in precipitation data, a generally increasing trend in temperature data and a decreasing trend in moisture data. Thus, impact of climate change can be clearly seen. Therefore, impact of this climate change shows not only an increase in temperatures and a decrease in precipitation, but also an increase in daily sudden and severe rains. For this reason, flood inundation maps of study area were created. Hec-RAS software was used to create flood propagation maps. As a result of these maps, it is seen that remain in floodplain of high-speed train line, agricultural lands and some of residential areas. Flood spreading maps of region have been created for sudden precipitation that may occur as a result of climate change and it has been observed that agricultural lands, residential areas and factories can be affected by this flood.
机译:由于全球变暖,土耳其是在气候变化影响下的国家之一。这些气候变化导致温度和降水水平的大量不平衡。虽然降水制度的这些不平衡导致一些地区的干旱,但它们在一些地区造成突然和严重的降水。因此,在本研究中,调查了索卡拉姆省喀拉姆地区气候变化对气象数据和洪水的影响。本研究中使用的区域的气象数据是从气象学(DMI)的一般理事会。每天从Station 17069(10.01.2014 - 09.30.2019)进行气象数据。在分析气象数据分析中使用创新趋势分析,并通过在洪水分析中使用HEC-RAS软件获得二维洪泛传播图。由于分析所取出的结果,据观察,全球变暖引起的气候变化对土耳其卡拉姆地区的气象数据产生了影响,这是研究区。因为,观察到降水数据的大致下降趋势,温度数据的普遍越来越高的趋势以及水分数据的降低趋势。因此,可以清楚地看到气候变化的影响。因此,这种气候变化的影响不仅表现出温度的增加和降水减少,而且还增加了日常突然和严重的降雨。因此,创建了学习区的洪水淹没地图。 HEC-RAS软件用于创建洪泛传播映射。由于这些地图,可以看到它仍然存在于高速列车线,农业用地和一些住宅区的洪泛区。由于气候变化可能发生的突然降水,因此已经创造了区域的洪水传播地图,并且已经观察到农业土地,住宅区和工厂可能受到这洪水的影响。

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