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The Good, The Bad and The Ugly: A Mathematical Model Investigates the Differing Outcomes Among CoVID-19 Patients

机译:好的,坏和丑:数学模型研究了Covid-19患者之间的不同结果

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The disease caused by SARS-CoV-2—CoVID-19—is a globalpandemic that has brought severe changes worldwide. Approximately80% of the infected patients are largely asymptomatic or have mildsymptoms such as fever or cough, while rest of the patients display vary?ing degrees of severity of symptoms, with an average mortality rate of3–4%. Severe symptoms such as pneumonia and acute respiratory dis?tress syndrome may be caused by tissue damage, which is mostly dueto aggravated and unresolved innate and adaptive immune response,often resulting from a cytokine storm. Here, we discuss how an intricateinterplay among infected cells and cells of innate and adaptive immunesystem can lead to such diverse clinicopathological outcomes. Particu?larly, we discuss how the emergent nonlinear dynamics of interactionamong the components of adaptive and immune system componentsand virally infected cells can drive different disease severity. Such mini?malistic yet rigorous mathematical modeling approaches are helpful inexplaining how various co-morbidity risk factors, such as age and obe?sity, can aggravate the severity of CoVID-19 in patients. Furthermore,such approaches can elucidate how a fne-tuned balance of infectedcell killing and resolution of infammation can lead to infection clearance,while disruptions can drive different severe phenotypes. These resultscan help further in a rational selection of drug combinations that caneffectively balance viral clearance and minimize tissue damage.
机译:SARS-COV-2-Covid-19引起的疾病是一种全球化的平凡,它在全球范围内带来严重变化。受感染患者的大约80%在很大程度上是无症状的,或伴有疟疾,如发烧或咳嗽,而患者的其余部分显示出不同程度的症状程度,平均死亡率为3-4%。严重的症状如肺炎和急性呼吸紊乱症状,可能是由组织损伤引起的,这主要是杜代加重和未解决的先天和自适应免疫应答,通常由细胞因子风暴引起。在这里,我们讨论了被感染的细胞和先天性和适应性免疫系统的细胞和细胞之间的复杂区段如何导致这种多种临床病理结果。特别是?在很大程度上,我们讨论了相互作用的突出非线性动力学的适应性和免疫系统成分的组分和病毒感染细胞的组成程度可以推动不同的疾病严重程度。这种迷你性?发生的迷你但严谨的数学建模方法是有用的,有助于解释各种共同发病危险因素,如年龄和奥贝尔?Sity,可以加剧患者Covid-19的严重程度。此外,这种方法可以阐明感染细胞杀伤和分辨性incAxmation的FNE调节的平衡如何导致感染间隙,而破坏可以推动不同的严重表型。这些结果在合理选择的药物组合方面有助于减少病毒间隙并最大限度地减少组织损伤。

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