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Sub-national Energy Access Planning Model for Sustainable Development Goals: A Case Study of Barpak

机译:可持续发展目标的亚国家能源进入规划模型 - 巴巴克的案例研究

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As most nations have adopted the Sustainable Development agenda to achieve the 17 Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) by 2030, it is vital that planning of energy systems at local, regional and national levels also align with the agenda in order to achieve the goals. This study explores the sustainability of primary energy resources of a rural community to meet growing demands of the community, in order to achieve SDGs for energy access Goal no. 7 (SDG7) at local level. Using a linear back-casting techno-economic energy access model that informs the expected change in energy demand in order to reach SDG7 targets, this study examined whether local energy resources would be enough to achieve the targets for Barpak VDC (named such at the time of data collection before Nepal’s administrative restructuring), and explored the possibility of importing electricity from national grid to attain SDG7 targets. By analyzing the outputs of the model for Barpak, we found that currently assessed local energy resources are insufficient to meet the energy access targets. Importing electricity from national grid, in addition to the mini-hydropower plant currently in operation at Barpak is needed to achieve the targets. Huge cost investment and timely expansion of transmission and distribution infrastructure is crucial. By 2030, total energy demand is expected to grow up to 50,000 Gigajoules per year. Electricity import from national grid grows steadily, reaching up to 45,000 Gigajoules in 2030. The social costs of energy will continue to be dominated by household sector till 2030, reaching up to 30 million Nepali Rupees per year in total. Use of wood as fuel, the only significant source of emission in the model is modeled to decrease linearly and stop by 2030, as required by SDGs. Emission of 17 Metric Tonnes of Carbon-dioxide and 4.5 million kg Methane equivalent is reduced to zero at 2030. This model serves as an innovative approach to integrate SDG targets to local and regional energy planning process, and can be adopted for energy systems and policy planning for various regions in Nepal.
机译:由于大多数国家通过了可持续发展议程,以实现2030年的17项可持续发展目标(SDGS),至关重要的是,在当地,区域和国家一级规划能源系统也与议程保持一致,以实现目标。本研究探讨了农村社区的主要能源资源的可持续性,以满足社区日益增长的需求,以实现能源访问目标的SDG。 7(SDG7)在地方一级。使用线性后铸技术经济能源进入模型,通知能源需求的预期变化,以达到SDG7目标,研究了本地能源资源是否足以实现Barpak VDC的目标(当时命名为如此)尼泊尔行政重组前的数据收集),并探讨了从国家网格进口电力以获得SDG7目标的可能性。通过分析Barpak模型的产出,我们发现目前评估的本地能源资源不足以满足能源访问目标。除了目前在Barpak目前运营的迷你水电站外,还需要进口国家电网,以实现目标。巨大的成本投资和及时扩大传输和分销基础设施至关重要。到2030年,预计总能源需求预计每年长达50,000千兆焦。来自国家电网的电力进口稳步增长,2030年达到45,000千兆八。能源的社会成本将继续由家庭部门占主导地位,直到2030年,每年达到每年最多3000万尼泊尔卢比。使用木材作为燃料,模型中唯一重要的发射来源是根据SDG的要求进行线性的,并在2030年下降。 2030年,17公吨二氧化碳和450万kg甲烷当量的排放减少到零。该模型作为将SDG目标集成到本地和区域能源规划过程的创新方法,可用于能源系统和政策规划尼泊尔各种地区。

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