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首页> 外文期刊>Journal of Economics and Sustainable Development >The Determinants of Bilateral Trade within the CEMAC Bloc: Evidence Using the Augmented Gravity Model and the PPML Estimation Technique
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The Determinants of Bilateral Trade within the CEMAC Bloc: Evidence Using the Augmented Gravity Model and the PPML Estimation Technique

机译:CEMAC集团中双边贸易的决定因素:使用增强重力模型和PPML估计技术的证据

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摘要

Due to the relatively low levels of bilateral trade flows observed within the CEMAC bloc as well as the poor rates of economic growth observed in CEMAC member States, the study aimed to examine the determinants of bilateral trade flows within the CEMAC bloc using the Augmented Gravity model as the main theoretical framework. While secondary data for bilateral trade was obtained from IMF’s Direction of Trade Statistics, secondary data for Gross Domestic Product (GDP), population size and investment in fixed capital were obtained from the World Bank’s World Development Indicators and data for distance and CEMAC dummy were obtained from the Institute for Research on the International Economy (CEPII). Using the Pseudo-Poisson Maximum Likelihood (PPML) technique, the results of the study conclude that while GDP of exporting country, GDP of importing country, the existence of a border between exporting country and importing country, population of exporting country, population of importing country, physical capital of exporting country and physical capital of importing country all have positive and significant impact on bilateral trade flows within the CEMAC bloc, distance between exporting country and importing country and the creation of CEMAC as a trade bloc all have negative and significant impact on bilateral trade flows within the CEMAC bloc. Finally, the study recommends that policy makers of the CEMAC trade bloc design and implement policies and measures that are geared towards boosting the GDP of member States, investing in national and regional infrastructural projects, eradicating barriers at their respective borders, investing in the acquisition and transfer of technical and technological skills, harmonizing regional financial, economic, legal and trade policies and improving the business (investment) climate.
机译:由于CEMAC集团中观察到的双边贸易流量相对较低,并且在CEMAC成员国观察到的经济增长率不佳,研究旨在使用增强的重力模型来研究CEMAC集团内的双边贸易流量的决定因素作为主要的理论框架。虽然双边贸易的二级数据从国际货币基金组织的贸易统计方向获得,但从世界银行的世界银行世界银行的世界发展指标获得了国内生产总值(GDP),人口规模和固定资金投资的二级数据,并获得了距离和CEMAC假人的数据来自国际经济研究所(CEPII)。使用伪泊松最大可能性(PPML)技术,研究结果得出结论,虽然出口国GDP,进口国GDP,出口国和进口国之间存在边界,出口国人口,进口人口进口人口。出口国的乡村,进口国的物理资本都对CEMAC集团内的双边贸易流量产生了积极和重大影响,出口国和进口国之间的距离以及CEMAC作为贸易集团的创建都具有负面和重大影响在CEMAC集团内的双边贸易流动。最后,该研究建议,CEMAC贸易集团的决策者设计和实施政策和措施,以促进成员国GDP,投资国家和区域基础设施项目,消除各自边界的障碍,投资收购技术和技术技能转移,协调区域金融,经济,法律和贸易政策,提高业务(投资)气候。

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