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Back to the past: gains and losses in Brazilian society

机译:回到过去:巴西社会的收益和损失

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During the first 15?years of the twenty-first century, Brazil’s economic growth and public policies were in the center of the debate on the growing “new middle class.” This new middle class is defined by people’s household income between the upper 10th percentile and the median (Neri, A Nova Classe Média, 2008). Although there has been a consensus about the increase in consumption and the improvement of living conditions for a significant proportion of the population, there is less agreement about the decline in inequality and the change in class distribution. Previous work was directed at challenging the very idea that Brazil had become a middle-class country during the first decade of this century, basically weighting class distribution against income distribution. In this article, we aim to step into the income distribution debate using six income groups as proportions of the median household per-capita income. Our data source is the National Household Sample Survey (PNAD-IBGE/Brazil) in 2001, 2008, and 2015. We analyze groups’ income distribution and characteristics using multinomial logistic models to take into account the effects of socioeconomic variables. We argue that there is significant stability in groups’ income structure during the period, revealing their resistance to inequalities (similar to the findings in the works of Piketty and Souza). We also indicate that the odds of being included in the upper-income categories are quite unequal, considering socioeconomic variables. Finally, we point out that the gains observed from 2001 to 2008 had faded by 2015 when the odds of being included in the upper-income categories were remarkably similar to those of 2001.
机译:在二十一世纪的前15年,巴西的经济增长和公共政策是关于不断增长的“新中产阶级”的辩论的中心。这个新的中产阶级是由人民在第10百分位数和中位数之间的家庭收入(NERI,NovaClasseMédia,2008)之间的定义。虽然有关于消费增加和生活条件的提高达成共识,但有关大量人口的生活条件,但对不平等的下降和阶级分配的变化较少。以前的工作是挑战,这是在本世纪的第一个十年内成为中产阶级国家的主意,基本上加权阶级分配免受收入分配。在本文中,我们的目标是使用六个收入群体作为每人均收入中位数的比例进入收入分配辩论。我们的数据来源是2001年,2008年和2015年的国家家庭样本调查(PNAD-IBGE / BARAZIL)。我们分析了使用多项式物流模型的集团的收入分配和特征,以考虑社会经济变量的影响。我们认为,在该期间,群体的收入结构存在显着稳定,揭示了他们对不平等的抵抗力(类似于Piketty和Souza作品中的调查结果)。考虑到社会经济变量,我们还表明所包含在营收类别中的几率是不平等的。最后,我们指出,在2001年营收类别中包含的几率与2001年纳入其中的赔率,2001年至2008年从2001年到2008年观察到的收益。

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