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首页> 外文期刊>Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems >Land Use and Land Cover Change Strongly Modulates Land‐Atmosphere Coupling and Warm‐Season Precipitation Over the Central United States in CESM2‐VR
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Land Use and Land Cover Change Strongly Modulates Land‐Atmosphere Coupling and Warm‐Season Precipitation Over the Central United States in CESM2‐VR

机译:土地利用和陆地覆盖变化强烈调制土地大气耦合和美国中部地区的暖季降水在CESM2-VR中

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摘要

Prior research indicates that land use and land cover change (LULCC) in the central United States has led to significant changes in surface climate. The spatial resolution of simulations is particularly relevant in this region due to its influence on model skill in capturing mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) and on representing the spatial heterogeneity. Recent advances in Earth system models (ESMs) make it feasible to use variable resolution (VR) meshes to study regional impacts of LULCC while avoiding inconsistencies introduced by lateral boundary conditions typically seen in limited area models. Here, we present numerical experiments using the Community Earth System Model version 2–VR to evaluate (1) the influence of resolution and land use on model skill and (2) impacts of LULCC over the central United States at different resolutions. These simulations are configured either on the 1° grid or a VR grid with grid refinement to 1/8° over the contiguous United States for the period of 1984–2010 with two alternative land use data sets corresponding to the preindustrial and present day states. Our results show that skill in simulating precipitation over the central United States is primarily dependent on resolution, whereas skill in simulating 2‐m temperature is more dependent on accurate land use. The VR experiments show stronger LULCC‐induced precipitation increases over the Midwest in May and June, corresponding to an increase in the number of MCS‐like features and a more conductive thermodynamic environment for convection. Our study demonstrates the potential of using VR ESMs for hydroclimatic simulations in regions with significant LULCC. Plain Language Summary Land use and land cover change (LULCC) in the central United States has likely affected the historical climate of this region, along with other global and regional factors. Experiments using Earth system models can be used to understand how LULCC has affected the regional climate. But such studies are limited by model resolution used for the experiments. Recent developments in Earth system modeling allow for higher regional resolution simulations over areas of focused interest in global simulations. In this study, we perform model experiments using the Community Earth System Model at a high resolution over the central United States to understand how resolution affects the model skill and the simulated LULCC impacts. The warm‐season precipitation over the central United States shows lower biases in the high‐resolution simulations. We also find stronger precipitation increases over the Midwest during May and June due to LULCC in experiments at high resolution. This is because the environmental conditions over the Midwest become more favorable for convective activities as a result of LULCC in the high‐resolution experiments.
机译:现有研究表明,美国中部地区的土地利用和土地覆盖变化(LULCC)导致了表面气候的重大变化。由于其对捕获Messcale对流系统(MCS)和表示空间异质性的影响,模拟的空间分辨率在该区域中特别相关。地球系统模型(ESMS)的最新进展使得使用可变分辨率(VR)网格来研究LULCC的区域影响,同时避免通常在有限地区模型中看到的横向边界条件引入的不一致。在这里,我们使用社区地球系统模型版本2-VR提供了数值实验,以评估(1)分辨率和土地利用对LULCC在不同分辨率中中部地区的模型技能和(2)影响的影响。这些模拟配置在1°Grid或VR网格上,在1984 - 2010年的连续58次上,网格细化为1/8°,两个替代土地使用与前工业和现在的日期相对应的数据集。我们的研究结果表明,在美国中部地区模拟降水的技巧主要依赖于分辨率,而模拟2米温度的技能更加依赖于准确的土地使用。 VR实验表明,在5月和6月的中西部地区的Lulcc诱导的降水量较强,相当于MCS样功能的数量增加以及对对流的更具导电性热力学环境的增加。我们的研究表明,在具有重要LULCC的区域中使用VR ESMS进行液体模拟的可能性。普通语言摘要土地利用和土地覆盖变革(LULCC)在美国中,可能影响了该地区的历史气候,以及其他全球和区域因素。使用地球系统模型的实验可用于了解LULCC如何影响区域气候。但这些研究受到用于实验的模型分辨率的限制。地球系统建模的最新进程允许在全球模拟中聚焦兴趣的领域获得更高的区域分辨率模拟。在这项研究中,我们使用社区地球系统模型进行模型实验,以高分辨率在美国中央的高分辨率上了解解决方法如何影响模型技能和模拟的LULCC影响。美国中部的暖季降水显示出高分辨率模拟中的较低偏差。由于在高分辨率高分辨率下,我们还发现5月和6月期间中西部中西部的更强的降水量。这是因为由于LULCC在高分辨率实验中,中西部的环境条件对对流活动变得更加有利。

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