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首页> 外文期刊>Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems >On the Spin‐Up Period in WRF Simulations Over Europe: Trade‐Offs Between Length and Seasonality
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On the Spin‐Up Period in WRF Simulations Over Europe: Trade‐Offs Between Length and Seasonality

机译:在欧洲WRF模拟中的旋转期:长度与季节性之间的权衡

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摘要

Regional climate models (RCMs) are usually initialized and driven through the boundaries of their limited area domain by data provided by global models (GCMs). The mismatch between the low‐resolution GCM initial conditions and RCM's high resolution introduces physical inconsistencies between the various components of the RCM. These inconsistencies can be resolved by running the RCM during a period that is considered unreliable: the spin‐up period. There is no deterministic definition of the length that the spin‐up period should have. Here we try to provide general guidelines that can be used to the advantage of the community. We base our analysis on Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) simulations over a Euro‐Cordex compliant domain and find that for 2‐m temperature and precipitation, rather short spin‐up periods (1 week) can be sufficient. Nevertheless, longer periods (6 months) are advisable, and start dates in non‐winter months should be pursued, as this ensures a more realistic representation of the snow cover. Thus, the issue is not only about the spin‐up length. As the soil subsystem evolves slowly and requires longer periods to reach equilibrium than the longest considered here (1 year), seasonality plays an important role in minimizing the impact of the unreliability of the soil initialization. Fortunately, except for goals where the deep soil‐atmosphere feedback are critical, the lack of equilibrium between them can be ignored, as it seems to have little effect on the simulation of the atmospheric variables most frequently used in RCM studies. Plain Language Summary High‐resolution climate simulations performed with the so‐called regional climate models (RCMs) are usually initialized from coarser databases that provide an inconsistent picture at the higher resolution of the RCM. To overcome it and obtain reliable RCM simulations, RCMs should run over a time span to reach physical equilibrium. During this “trash” period (called spin‐up period), the RCM outputs should be discarded for later analysis, for example, for assessing climate change impacts. In order to guarantee the reliability of RCM simulations and minimize their high computational cost, determining an optimal length of the spin‐up period is critical. For a European domain with ~50‐km resolution and for a particular, but widely used, RCM, the WRF model, here we find that half a year of spin‐up would be enough for atmospheric variables (temperature and precipitation), always that the RCM initialization occurs in summer months; otherwise, the snow cover initial state is misrepresented, making it inadvisable longer spin‐up periods implying winter start dates. However, soil variables (especially water content) cannot be trusted even after up to one full year of spin‐up. Fortunately, the negligible impact of this issue for most RCM applications involving only atmospheric variables emerges also from our analysis.
机译:区域气候模型(RCMS)通常通过全球模型(GCMS)提供的数据来初始化并通过有限区域领域的界限驱动。低分辨率GCM初始条件和RCM的高分辨率之间的不匹配在RCM的各种组件之间引入了物理不一致。通过在被认为不可靠的时段期间运行RCM,可以解决这些不一致性。旋转期间应该具有的长度没有确定性定义。在这里,我们努力提供可用于社区优势的一般指导。我们通过欧洲驯料型域的天气研究和预测(WRF)模拟进行了分析,发现2米的温度和降水,相当短的旋转周期(1周)可以就足够。尽管如此,建议较长的时间(6个月),应该追求非冬季月份的开始日期,因为这确保了雪覆盖的更现实的代表性。因此,问题不仅仅是关于旋转长度。由于土壤子系统缓慢地发展并且需要更长的时间达到均衡而不是这里考虑的最长(1年),季节性在最小化土壤初始化的不可靠性时起着重要作用。幸运的是,除了深层土壤 - 大气反馈的目标外,它们之间的缺乏均衡可以忽略,因为它对RCM研究中最常使用的大气变量的模拟似乎几乎没有影响。简单语言摘要使用所谓的区域气候模型(RCMS)进行的高分辨率气候模拟通常从粗糙的数据库中初始化,该数据库在RCM的较高分辨率下提供不一致的图片。为了克服它并获得可靠的RCM模拟,RCMS应在一个时间范围内运行以达到物理均衡。在此“垃圾”时段(称为旋转周期)期间,应丢弃RCM输出以进行以后的分析,例如,用于评估气候变化的影响。为了保证RCM仿真的可靠性并最小化其高计算成本,确定旋转周期的最佳长度至关重要。对于具有〜50公里分辨率的欧洲域,并且对于特定但广泛使用的,RCM,WRF模型,在这里,我们发现半年的旋转旋转足以足以用于大气变量(温度和降水),总是那么RCM初始化发生在夏季;否则,雪覆盖初始状态是歪曲的,使得它不可取的速度较长,暗示冬季开始日期。然而,即使在旋转一年后,也不能信任土壤变量(特别是含水量)。幸运的是,对于只有涉及大气变量的大多数RCM应用程序的对该问题的忽略影响也从我们的分析中出现。

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