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首页> 外文期刊>Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems >An EnOI‐Based Data Assimilation System With DART for a High‐Resolution Version of the CESM2 Ocean Component
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An EnOI‐Based Data Assimilation System With DART for a High‐Resolution Version of the CESM2 Ocean Component

机译:基于ENOI的数据同化系统,具有驾驶CESM2海洋组件的高分辨率版本

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摘要

An ensemble optimal interpolation (EnOI) data assimilation system for a high‐resolution (0.1° horizontal) version of the Community Earth System Model Version 2 (CESM2) ocean component is presented. For this purpose, a new version of the Data Assimilation Research Testbed (DART Manhattan) that enables large‐state data assimilation by distributing state vector information across multiple processors at high resolution is used. The EnOI scheme uses a static (but seasonally varying) 84‐member ensemble of precomputed perturbations to approximate samples from the forecast error covariance and utilizes a single model integration to estimate the forecast mean. Satellite altimetry and sea surface temperature observations along with in situ temperature and salinity observations are assimilated. This new data assimilation framework is then used to produce a global high‐resolution retrospective analysis for the 2005–2016 period. Not surprisingly, the assimilation is shown to generally improve the time‐mean ocean state estimate relative to an identically forced ocean model simulation where no observations are ingested. However, diminished improvements are found in undersampled regions. Lack of adequate salinity observations in the upper ocean actually results in deterioration of salinity there. The EnOI scheme is found to provide a practical and cost‐effective alternative to the use of an ensemble of forecasts. Plain Language Summary Decadal climate prediction focuses on climate changes on time scales from a year to a decade or more and is a combination of forced boundary condition and initial value problems. A well‐established source of predictability on decadal time scales comes from the initialization of the ocean state. To exploit the capabilities of the next generation of high‐resolution climate prediction systems, proper initialization of their ocean components is required. This work represents our first attempt at data assimilation in a high‐resolution version of the Community Earth System Model (CESM2). We use a new version of the Data Assimilation Research Testbed (DART) that enables large‐state data assimilation. However, the integration of an ensemble of high‐resolution models remains computationally prohibitive. For this reason, we introduce an ensemble optimal interpolation (EnOI) scheme to assimilate observations much more efficiently. The EnOI scheme uses a static, but seasonally varying, ensemble of precomputed perturbations to approximate samples from the forecast error covariance and eliminates the need for running an ensemble. While our prototype retrospective analysis for the 2005–2016 period shows some limitations, the EnOI scheme is found to provide a practical and cost‐effective alternative to the use of an ensemble of forecasts.
机译:提供了用于社区地球系统模型2(CESM2)海洋组件的高分辨率(0.1°水平)版本的高分辨率(0.1°水平)版本的集合最佳插值(ENOI)数据同化系统。为此目的,使用通过在高分辨率下分配多个处理器的状态矢量信息,通过在高分辨率下分配大状态数据同化的数据同化研究试验台(Dart Manhattan)的新版本。 ENOI方案使用静态(但季节性变化)84构件的预先计算的扰动,以从预测误差协方差近似示例,并利用单一模型集成来估计预测意味着。同化卫星高度和海面温度观察以及原位温度和盐度观察。然后,这种新的数据同化框架将用于2005 - 2016年期间的全球高分辨率回顾性分析。毫不奇怪,同化显示相对于相对于相同强制的海洋模型模拟,通常改善时间平均海洋状态估计,其中没有摄取观察。然而,在欠采样区域中发现了减少的改进。上海缺乏足够的盐度观察实际上导致那里的盐度恶化。发现ENOI方案提供了使用预测集合的实用且经济效益的替代方案。普通语言摘要Decadal Limate预测侧重于一年到十年或更长时间的时间尺度的气候变化,并且是强制边界条件和初始价值问题的组合。在Decadal时间尺度上具有良好的可预测性来源来自海洋状态的初始化。为了利用下一代高分辨率气候预测系统的能力,需要正确初始化其海洋部件。这项工作代表了我们在社区地球系统模型(CESM2)的高分辨率版本中进行数据同化的第一次尝试。我们使用新版本的数据同化研究测试用(DART),可实现大状态数据同化。然而,高分辨率模型集成的集成仍然是计算禁止的。因此,我们介绍了一个集合最佳插值(ENOI)方案,以更有效地同化观察。 ENOI方案使用静态,但季节性变化,预先计算的扰动的集合,以从预测错误协方差近似示例,并消除了运行集合的需求。虽然我们2005-2016时期的原型回顾性分析显示了一些限制,但发现ENOI方案提供了使用预测集合的实用和成本效益的替代方案。

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