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首页> 外文期刊>Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems >Mean State Biases and Interannual Variability Affect Perceived Sensitivities of the Madden‐Julian Oscillation to Air‐Sea Coupling
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Mean State Biases and Interannual Variability Affect Perceived Sensitivities of the Madden‐Julian Oscillation to Air‐Sea Coupling

机译:平均状态偏差和际变化会影响Madden-julian振荡对空中海耦合的感觉灵敏度

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摘要

Atmosphere‐ocean feedbacks often improve the Madden‐Julian oscillation (MJO) in climate models, but these improvements are balanced by mean state biases that can degrade the MJO through changing the basic state on which the MJO operates. The Super‐Parameterized Community Atmospheric Model (SPCAM3) produces perhaps the best representation of the MJO among contemporary models, which improves further in a coupled configuration (SPCCSM3) despite considerable mean state biases in tropical sea surface temperatures and rainfall. We implement an atmosphere‐ocean‐mixed‐layer configuration of SPCAM3 (SPCAM3‐KPP) and use a flux‐correction technique to isolate the effects of coupling and mean state biases on the MJO. When constrained to the observed ocean mean state, air‐sea coupling does not substantially alter the MJO in SPCAM3, in contrast to previous studies. When constrained to the SPCCSM ocean mean state, SPCAM3‐KPP fails to produce an MJO, in stark contrast to the strong MJO in SPCCSM3. Further KPP simulations demonstrate that the MJO in SPCCSM3 arises from an overly strong sensitivity to El Ni?o–Southern Oscillation events. Our results show that simulated interannual variability and coupled‐model mean state biases affect the perceived response of the MJO to coupling. This is particularly concerning in the context of internal variability in coupled models, as many previous MJO sensitivity studies in coupled models used relatively short (20‐ to 50‐year) simulations that undersample interannual‐decadal variability. Diagnosing the effects of coupling on the MJO requires simulations that carefully control for mean state biases and interannual variability. Plain Language Summary Many studies suggest that feedbacks between the atmosphere and ocean are essential for simulating the Madden‐Julian oscillation, which controls weekly to monthly tropical rainfall. However, model experiments that diagnose the effect of these feedbacks are often not performed in a controlled manner, because introducing atmosphere‐ocean feedbacks changes other aspects of the simulation, including the background climate and phenomena such as the El Ni?o–Southern Oscillation. These changes may affect the Madden‐Julian oscillation as well, separately from direct atmosphere‐ocean feedbacks, but these changes are often erroneously considered part of the sensitivity of the Madden‐Julian oscillation to atmosphere‐ocean feedbacks. We demonstrate that in one model that simulates the Madden‐Julian oscillation well, the Super‐Parameterized Community Atmospheric Model, intraseasonal atmosphere‐ocean feedbacks alone do not substantially alter the Madden‐Julian oscillation. Rather, the previously perceived improvement to the Madden‐Julian oscillation from atmosphere‐ocean feedbacks arises from a too strong response of the Madden‐Julian oscillation to El Ni?o events. Future studies must carefully control for how introducing atmosphere‐ocean feedbacks affects other aspects of the simulation, to better isolate the effect of those feedbacks on the Madden‐Julian oscillation.
机译:大气 - 海洋反馈通常在气候模型中改善Madden-Julian振荡(MJO),但这些改进是通过平均偏差平衡的,可以通过改变MJO操作的基本状态来降低MJO。超参数化社区大气模型(SPCAM3)产生了当代模型中MJO的最佳表示,这在耦合配置(SPCC3)中进一步改善了热带海面温度和降雨中的平均状态偏差。我们实施SPCAM3(SPCAM3-KPP)的气氛 - 海洋混合层配置,并使用磁通校正技术隔离在MJO上的耦合和平均状态偏差的影响。与观察到的海洋平均状态约束时,与先前的研究相比,空中海耦合在SPCAM3中没有基本上改变MJO。当约束到SPCCSC海洋的平均状态时,SPCAM3-KPP未能产生MJO,与SPCC3中的强大MJO形成鲜明对比。此外,KPP模拟表明SPCCSM3中的MJO产生了对EL NI的过度强烈敏感性。我们的结果表明,模拟的续际变异性和耦合模型平均状态偏差影响MJO对耦合的感知响应。这尤其是在耦合模型中的内部变异性的背景下,随着耦合模型的许多MJO敏感性研究使用的是欠际际跨越变异性的相对短(20至50岁)的模拟。诊断耦合对MJO上的影响需要仔细控制平均状态偏差和际变化的模拟。普通语言概要许多研究表明,大气和海洋之间的反馈对于模拟Madden-julian振荡至关重要,这些振荡是每周控制每月热带降雨。然而,诊断这些反馈效果的模型实验通常不是以受控的方式进行的,因为引入气氛 - 海洋反馈改变了模拟的其他方面,包括背景气候和现象,例如EL NI?O-Southern振荡。这些变化也可能影响Madden-Julian振荡,并与直接的大气 - 海洋反馈分开,但这些变化通常被错误地被认为是Madden-julian振荡对大气反馈的敏感性的一部分。我们证明,在一种模型中,模拟了Madden-Julian振荡井,超级参数化的社区大气模型,单独陷入困境的气氛 - 海洋反馈并未大大改变Madden-Julian振荡。相反,先前感知到来自大气 - 海洋反馈的Madden-julian振荡的改善是从Madden-julian振荡到El Ni的响应太强的响应。未来的研究必须仔细控制介绍的氛围 - 海洋反馈如何影响模拟的其他方面,以更好地隔离对Madden-julian振荡的反馈的影响。

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