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首页> 外文期刊>Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems >An Observation‐Driven Approach to Improve Vegetation Phenology in a Global Land Surface Model
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An Observation‐Driven Approach to Improve Vegetation Phenology in a Global Land Surface Model

机译:一种改善全球陆地模型植被素质的观察方法

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摘要

An empirical model calibration approach is presented that aims to approximate missing biosphere processes in a global land surface model without the need for substantial model structural changes. The strategy is implemented here using the NASA Catchment‐CN land surface model and Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) observations of the fraction of absorbed photosynthetically active radiation (FPAR). Existing plant functional types (PFTs) of the Catchment‐CN model are divided into three subtypes, based on the bias between the model‐simulated and MODIS‐observed FPAR. Separate sets of vegetation parameters for each subtype are then calibrated at a small number of grid cells with homogeneous, single‐PFT land cover, using MODIS FPAR reference observations from 2003 to 2009. The effectiveness of the empirical approach at improving the realism of modeled vegetation dynamics is investigated with two global model simulations for the period 2010–2016, one using the newly calibrated parameter values and the other using the original values. Globally, the calibrated parameters reduce the root mean square error (RMSE) of the modeled FPAR with respect to MODIS by 0.029 (~10%) on average. In some regions, substantially larger RMSE reductions are achieved. RMSE reductions are primarily driven by model bias reductions, with neutral effects on the temporal correlation skill. While the empirical approach is suitable for achieving consistent model improvements, it is shown to be sensitive to the characteristics of the model error, specifically a dominance of the bias component in the case of Catchment‐CN. Ultimately, more fundamental model structural changes may be required to achieve better improvements. Plain Language Summary Plants impact the exchange of water, energy, and carbon between the land surface and the atmosphere and are thus one of the key factors controlling land‐atmosphere interactions. Because vegetation also evolves more slowly than the atmosphere, being able to correctly model vegetation activity is important to make accurate predictions of atmospheric behavior, for example, for weather or seasonal forecasts. This study presents an approach to introduce more vegetation types in a land surface model and to use satellite observations of vegetation activity to calibrate the parameters that describe the behavior of each vegetation type. We show that using this approach results in better model simulations of vegetation activity globally compared with observations. We also show that changing the vegetation has wide‐reaching consequences on other model components, including the water and carbon cycle at the land‐atmosphere boundary.
机译:提出了一种经验模型校准方法,其旨在近似全球陆地表面模型中缺失的生物圈过程,而无需大量模型结构变化。此处使用NASA集水CN陆地表面模型和适度分辨率成像光谱仪(MODIS)观察吸收的光合作用辐射(FPAR)的分数来实施该策略。基于模型模拟和Modis-Obseral-Obseral的FPAR之间的偏压,集水CN模型的现有植物功能类型(PFT)分为三个子类型。每种亚型的单独的植被参数,然后在2003年至2009年的MODIS FPAR参考观察中校准每种亚型的少数网格细胞。实证方法在改善模型植被现实主义方面的有效性在2010-2016期间使用两个全局模型模拟来研究动态,使用新校准的参数值,另一个使用原始值。在全球范围内,校准参数将模拟的FPAR的根均方误差(RMSE)与平均水平相对于MODIS达到0.029(〜10%)。在一些区域中,实现了基本上更大的RMSE减少。 RMSE减少主要由模型偏置减少驱动,对时间相关技术具有中性影响。虽然经验方法适用于实现一致的模型改进,但它显示对模型误差的特征敏感,特别是在集水区CN的情况下偏置分量的优势。最终,可能需要更基本的模型结构变化来实现更好的改进。普通语言摘要植物影响土地表面和大气之间的水,能量和碳交换,因此是控制土地气氛相互作用的关键因素之一。由于植被也比大气更慢地发展,因此能够正确地模拟植被活动对于做出准确的大气行为预测,例如,用于天气或季节性预测。本研究提出了一种在陆地表面模型中引入更多植被类型的方法,并使用卫星观察植被活动来校准描述每个植被类型行为的参数。我们表明,与观察结果相比,使用这种方法可以更好地模拟全球植被活动的模拟。我们还表明,改变植被对其他模型成分具有巨大后果,包括土地大气边界处的水和碳循环。

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