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首页> 外文期刊>Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems >Tropical Cyclogenesis From Self‐Aggregated Convection in Numerical Simulations of Rotating Radiative‐Convective Equilibrium
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Tropical Cyclogenesis From Self‐Aggregated Convection in Numerical Simulations of Rotating Radiative‐Convective Equilibrium

机译:旋转辐射对流平衡的数值模拟中自聚集对流的热带环比

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摘要

In a modeled environment of rotating radiative‐convective equilibrium (RCE), convective self‐aggregation may take the form of spontaneous tropical cyclogenesis. We investigate the processes leading to tropical cyclogenesis in idealized simulations with a three‐dimensional cloud‐permitting model configured in rotating RCE, in which the background planetary vorticity is varied across f‐plane cases to represent a range of deep tropical and near‐equatorial environments. Convection is initialized randomly in an otherwise homogeneous environment, with no background wind, precursor disturbance, or other synoptic‐scale forcing. We examine the dynamic and thermodynamic evolution of cyclogenesis in these experiments and compare the physical mechanisms to current theories. All simulations with planetary vorticity corresponding to latitudes from 10°–20° generate intense tropical cyclones, with maximum wind speeds of 80?m?s?1 or above. Time to genesis varies widely, even within a five‐member ensemble of 20° simulations, indicating large stochastic variability. Shared across the 10°–20° group is the emergence of a midlevel vortex in the days leading to genesis, which has dynamic and thermodynamic implications on its environment that facilitate the spin‐up of a low‐level vortex. Tropical cyclogenesis is possible in this model at values of Coriolis parameter as low as that representative of 1°. In these experiments, convection self‐aggregates into a quasicircular cluster, which then begins to rotate and gradually strengthen into a tropical storm, aided by strong near‐surface inflow that is already established days prior. Other experiments at these lower Coriolis parameters instead self‐aggregate into a nonrotating elongated band and fail to undergo cyclogenesis over the 100‐day simulation. Plain Language Summary Despite decades of research on tropical cyclones, we still do not have a universal agreement on how they form. Current theories agree that some sort of disturbance must exist beforehand, but our knowledge of the processes leading to a surface‐based cyclone remains limited. To address this, we examine idealized numerical simulations in which convection is allowed to spontaneously cluster together on its own due to interactions between clouds, moisture, and radiation. Using this framework, we obtain a complete view of the tropical cyclone formation process, including the formation of the precursor disturbance. New to this study is the use of lower values of background rotation to simulate the formation of hurricanes at lower latitudes. Overall, simulations are run to represent latitudes from 0.1°–20°. Every simulation corresponding to latitudes between 10°?and 20°?produces a major hurricane, a few days after a vortex emerges a few kilometers aloft and affects its surrounding environment. Some simulations at 1°?and 2°?lead to formation of a weaker tropical cyclone, after clouds have first organized into one circular cluster. In other low‐latitude cases, this cluster of storms is instead a long band and fails to form a tropical cyclone. We offer detailed analysis of the tropical cyclone formation process in each case by considering both dynamic and thermodynamic factors.
机译:在旋转辐射对流平衡(RCE)的建模环境中,对流自聚集可以采用自发热带环生的形式。我们研究了在具有旋转RCE中配置的三维云允许模型的理想化模拟中导致热带仿真的过程,其中背景行星涡度在F平面例中变化,以代表一系列深热带和近赤道环境。对流在其他均匀环境中随机初始化,没有背景风,前体扰动或其他概要规模强制。我们在这些实验中检查环比的动态和热力学演变,并将物理机制与电流理论进行比较。所有模拟,行星涡度对应于10°-20°的纬度,产生强烈的热带气旋,最大风速80?m?s?1或更高。即使在20°模拟的五个成员集合中,即使在20°模拟的五个成员集合中,时间也变化了很大的变化,表明大量随机变异性。在10°-20°的分享是在导致创世纪的日子里的涌现出来,这对其环境具有动态和热力学意义,便于促进低级涡旋的旋转。在Coriolis参数的价值观中,热带环比在Coriolis参数的价值观中可能低至代表1°。在这些实验中,对流自聚集成一个拟纤维簇,然后开始旋转并逐渐加强到热带风暴中,辅助已经在前已经建立的强烈的近表面流入。这些低级科里奥利参数的其他实验,而是将自聚集成非调节的细长带,并且在100天的模拟中不能经历环比。普通语言概述尽管对热带气旋的研究数十年来,但我们仍然没有就它们的形式有关的普遍协议。目前的理论同意,必须事先存在某种干扰,但我们对导致基于表面旋风的过程的了解仍然有限。为了解决这个问题,我们研究了由于云,湿度和辐射之间的相互作用而自发地将对流自发地集成的对流的理想化数值模拟。使用本框架,我们获得了热带气旋形成过程的完整视图,包括形成前体扰动。本研究的新方法是利用较低的背景旋转值来模拟飓风的较低纬度地区的形成。总体而言,仿真经营以表示0.1°-20°的纬度。对应于10°之间的纬度的每个模拟?和20°?产生一个主要的飓风,涡旋升高几公里又影响其周围环境。一些模拟在1°?和2°?导致云首次组织成一个圆形簇后形成较弱的热带气旋。在其他低纬度案例中,这种风暴簇代替长乐队,并且不能形成热带气旋。通过考虑动态和热力学因素,我们在每种情况下对热带气旋形成过程进行详细分析。

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