首页> 外文期刊>Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Discussions >On the importance of appropriate precipitation gauge catch correction for hydrological modelling at mid to high latitudes
【24h】

On the importance of appropriate precipitation gauge catch correction for hydrological modelling at mid to high latitudes

机译:对高纬度地区水文建模的适当降水量表脉冲校正的重要性

获取原文
       

摘要

Precipitation gauge catch correction is often given very little attention in hydrological modelling compared to model parameter calibration. This is critical because significant precipitation biases often make the calibration exercise pointless, especially when supposedly physically-based models are in play. This study addresses the general importance of appropriate precipitation catch correction through a detailed modelling exercise. An existing precipitation gauge catch correction method addressing solid and liquid precipitation is applied, both as national mean monthly correction factors based on a historic 30 yr record and as gridded daily correction factors based on local daily observations of wind speed and temperature. The two methods, named the historic mean monthly (HMM) and the time–space variable (TSV) correction, resulted in different winter precipitation rates for the period 1990–2010. The resulting precipitation datasets were evaluated through the comprehensive Danish National Water Resources model (DK-Model), revealing major differences in both model performance and optimised model parameter sets. Simulated stream discharge is improved significantly when introducing the TSV correction, whereas the simulated hydraulic heads and multi-annual water balances performed similarly due to recalibration adjusting model parameters to compensate for input biases. The resulting optimised model parameters are much more physically plausible for the model based on the TSV correction of precipitation. A proxy-basin test where calibrated DK-Model parameters were transferred to another region without site specific calibration showed better performance for parameter values based on the TSV correction. Similarly, the performances of the TSV correction method were superior when considering two single years with a much dryer and a much wetter winter, respectively, as compared to the winters in the calibration period (differential split-sample tests). We conclude that TSV precipitation correction should be carried out for studies requiring a sound dynamic description of hydrological processes, and it is of particular importance when using hydrological models to make predictions for future climates when the snow/rain composition will differ from the past climate. This conclusion is expected to be applicable for mid to high latitudes, especially in coastal climates where winter precipitation types (solid/liquid) fluctuate significantly, causing climatological mean correction factors to be inadequate.
机译:与模型参数校准相比,沉淀量捕获校正通常在水文模型中非常注意。这是至关重要的,因为显着的降水偏差通常会使校准锻炼毫无意义,特别是当基于物理的模型正在发挥作用时。本研究解决了通过详细的建模锻炼来解决适当降水校正的一般重要性。应用现有的沉淀量捕获校正方法寻址固体和液体沉淀,这既是基于历史悠久的30年记录的国家平均月校正因子,也基于当地日常风速和温度的网格日常校正因子。这两种方法名为历史悠久的平均每月(HMM)和时空变量(TSV)校正,导致1990 - 2010年期间的不同冬季降水率。通过综合丹麦国家水资源模型(DK模型)评估所得到的降水数据集,揭示了模型性能和优化模型参数集的主要差异。在引入TSV校正时,模拟流放电显着提高,而由于重新校准调整模型参数来补偿输入偏差,模拟液压头和多年度水平衡。基于降水的TSV校正,所得到的优化模型参数对于模型更为合理。一个代理盆地测试,其中校准DK模型参数转移到没有站点特定校准的另一个区域,显示了基于TSV校正的参数值的更好性能。类似地,与校准时段(差分分裂样本测试)的冬季相比,TSV校正方法的性能分别在考虑两个单数和冬季的两年时较好。我们得出结论,应对需要健全的水文过程的声音描述的研究进行TSV降水校正,并且当使用水文模型时,在雪/雨组合物与过去的气候中不同时,对于未来气候的预测是特别重要的。预计这一结论将适用于高纬度,特别是在冬季降水类型(固体/液体)显着波动的沿海气候中,导致气候均改因素不足。

著录项

获取原文

客服邮箱:kefu@zhangqiaokeyan.com

京公网安备:11010802029741号 ICP备案号:京ICP备15016152号-6 六维联合信息科技 (北京) 有限公司©版权所有
  • 客服微信

  • 服务号