...
首页> 外文期刊>Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Discussions >Global isoscapes for δ18O and δ2H in precipitation: improved prediction using regionalized climatic regression models
【24h】

Global isoscapes for δ18O and δ2H in precipitation: improved prediction using regionalized climatic regression models

机译:δ18O和δ2h中的全局均匀曲线下降:使用区域化气候回归模型改进预测

获取原文
           

摘要

A regionalized cluster-based water isotope prediction (RCWIP) approach, based on the Global Network of Isotopes in Precipitation (GNIP), was demonstrated for the purposes of predicting point- and large-scale spatio-temporal patterns of the stable isotope composition (δ2H, δ18O) of precipitation around the world. Unlike earlier global domain and fixed regressor models, RCWIP predefined 36 climatic cluster domains and tested all model combinations from an array of climatic and spatial regressor variables to obtain the best predictive approach to each cluster domain, as indicated by root-mean-squared error (RMSE) and variogram analysis. Fuzzy membership fractions were thereafter used as the weights to seamlessly amalgamate results of the optimized climatic zone prediction models into a single predictive mapping product, such as global or regional amount-weighted mean annual, mean monthly, or growing-season δ18O/δ2H in precipitation. Comparative tests revealed the RCWIP approach outperformed classical global-fixed regression–interpolation-based models more than 67% of the time, and clearly improved upon predictive accuracy and precision. All RCWIP isotope mapping products are available as gridded GeoTIFF files from the IAEA website (www.iaea.org/water) and are for use in hydrology, climatology, food authenticity, ecology, and forensics.
机译:基于沉淀(GNIP)的全球同位素网络的基于基于聚类的水同位素预测(RCWIP)方法是为了预测稳定同位素组合物的点和大规模的时空模式(Δ2h世界上沉淀的δ18O)。与早期的全局域和固定回归模型不同,RCWIP预定义的36气候群集域并从一系列气候和空间回归变量测试的所有模型组合,以获得每个群集域的最佳预测方法,如根均衡错误所示( RMSE)和变形仪分析。之后使用模糊的隶属级分作为重量,以将优化的气候区域预测模型无缝合并的结果分为单个预测映射产品,例如全局或区域量加权年度,平均每月或成长季Δ180/Δ2h在降水中。比较试验显示RCWIP接近的古典全球固定回归插值的模型超过67%,并清楚地改善了预测准确性和精度。所有RCWIP同位素映射产品可作为来自原子能机构网站(www.iaea.org/water)的网格地的地理码文件,并且用于水文,气候学,食品真实性,生态学和取证。

著录项

获取原文

客服邮箱:kefu@zhangqiaokeyan.com

京公网安备:11010802029741号 ICP备案号:京ICP备15016152号-6 六维联合信息科技 (北京) 有限公司©版权所有
  • 客服微信

  • 服务号