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首页> 外文期刊>Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Discussions >Geostatistical interpolation of daily rainfall at catchment scale: the use of several variogram models in the Ourthe and Ambleve catchments, Belgium
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Geostatistical interpolation of daily rainfall at catchment scale: the use of several variogram models in the Ourthe and Ambleve catchments, Belgium

机译:集水区尺度日降雨的地质统计插值:使用多个变形仪模型在我们的中风集水区,比利时

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摘要

Spatial interpolation of precipitation data is of great importance for hydrological modelling. Geostatistical methods (kriging) are widely applied in spatial interpolation from point measurement to continuous surfaces. The first step in kriging computation is the semi-variogram modelling which usually used only one variogram model for all-moment data. The objective of this paper was to develop different algorithms of spatial interpolation for daily rainfall on 1 km2 regular grids in the catchment area and to compare the results of geostatistical and deterministic approaches. This study leaned on 30-yr daily rainfall data of 70 raingages in the hilly landscape of the Ourthe and Ambleve catchments in Belgium (2908 km2). This area lies between 35 and 693 m in elevation and consists of river networks, which are tributaries of the Meuse River. For geostatistical algorithms, seven semi-variogram models (logarithmic, power, exponential, Gaussian, rational quadratic, spherical and penta-spherical) were fitted to daily sample semi-variogram on a daily basis. These seven variogram models were also adopted to avoid negative interpolated rainfall. The elevation, extracted from a digital elevation model, was incorporated into multivariate geostatistics. Seven validation raingages and cross validation were used to compare the interpolation performance of these algorithms applied to different densities of raingages. We found that between the seven variogram models used, the Gaussian model was the most frequently best fit. Using seven variogram models can avoid negative daily rainfall in ordinary kriging. The negative estimates of kriging were observed for convective more than stratiform rain. The performance of the different methods varied slightly according to the density of raingages, particularly between 8 and 70 raingages but it was much different for interpolation using 4 raingages. Spatial interpolation with the geostatistical and Inverse Distance Weighting (IDW) algorithms outperformed considerably the interpolation with the Thiessen polygon, commonly used in various hydrological models. Integrating elevation into Kriging with an External Drift (KED) and Ordinary Cokriging (OCK) did not improve the interpolation accuracy for daily rainfall. Ordinary Kriging (ORK) and IDW were considered to be the best methods, as they provided smallest RMSE value for nearly all cases. Care should be taken in applying UNK and KED when interpolating daily rainfall with very few neighbourhood sample points. These recommendations complement the results reported in the literature. ORK, UNK and KED using only spherical model offered a slightly better result whereas OCK using seven variogram models achieved better result.
机译:降水数据的空间插值对于水文建模具有重要意义。地质统计方法(Kriging)广泛应用于从点测量到连续表面的空间插值。克里格计算的第一步是半变形仪建模,其通常仅用于全动画片模型。本文的目的是在集水区内的1平方公里常规网格上开发日常降雨的不同算法,并比较地质统计和确定性方法的结果。本研究倾向于在比利时Outthe和Ambleve集水区的丘陵景观70岁的30岁日报数据(2908 km2)。这个区域的高度介于35到693米,由河网络组成,这是Meuse河的支流。对于地统计算法,七种半变形仪模型(对数,功率,指数,高斯,合理的二次,球形和五角形,球形和五角形)每天都适用于日常样本半变速仪。还采用了这七种变形仪模型来避免负降雨负面。从数字高度模型中提取的高度纳入多元地质地质学。七个验证RAINAGE和交叉验证用于比较这些算法的插值性能适用于不同的RAINAGE密度。我们发现,在使用的七个变形仪模型之间,高斯模型是最常用的。使用七个变形仪模型可以避免普通Kriging的负降雨。观察到Kriging的阴性估计比层状雨更多地对流。不同方法的性能根据饲养的密度略微不同,特别是在8到70之间的牵引之间,但是对于使用4个饲料的插值有很大差异。与地统计和逆距离加权(IDW)算法的空间插值显着地与Thiessen多边形的插值显着,通常用于各种水文模型。用外部漂移(KED)和普通的Cokriging(ock)将升降集成到Kriging中并未提高日落的插值精度。普通的Kriging(ORK)和IDW被认为是最佳方法,因为它们为几乎所有情况提供了最小的RMSE值。在使用很少的邻域样本点时,应在应用UNK和KED时申请UNK和KED。这些建议补充了文献中报告的结果。 Ork,UNK和KED使用的球形模型提供了一个稍好的结果,而使用七个变形仪模型的ock达到了更好的结果。

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