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Characteristics of rainfall events in regional climate model simulations for the Czech Republic

机译:捷克共和国区域气候模型模拟中降雨事件特征

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Characteristics of rainfall events in an ensemble of 23?regional climate model (RCM) simulations are evaluated against observed data in the Czech Republic for the period 1981–2000. Individual rainfall events are identified using the concept of minimum inter-event time (MIT) and only heavy events (15?% of events with the largest event depths) during the warm season (May–September) are considered. Inasmuch as an RCM grid box represents a spatial average, the effects of areal averaging of rainfall data on characteristics of events are investigated using the observed data. Rainfall events from the RCM simulations are then compared to those from the at-site and area-average observations. Simulated number of heavy events and seasonal total precipitation due to heavy events are on average represented relatively well despite the higher spatial variation compared to observations. RCM-simulated event depths are comparable to the area-average observations, while event durations are overestimated and other characteristics related to rainfall intensity are significantly underestimated. The differences between RCM-simulated and at-site observed rainfall event characteristics are in general dominated by the biases of the climate models rather than the areal-averaging effect. Most of the rainfall event characteristics in the majority of the RCM simulations show a similar altitude-dependence pattern as in the observed data. The number of heavy events and seasonal total precipitation due to heavy events increase with altitude, and this dependence is captured better by the RCM simulations with higher spatial resolution.
机译:在23岁的集合中降雨事件的特点?区域气候模型(RCM)模拟在1981 - 2000年期间对捷克共和国的观察数据进行了评估。使用最小事件截止时间(MIT)的概念来确定各个降雨事件,并且考虑了温暖季节(5月至9月)期间只有重型事件(15?百分比的事件)(5月份的事件深度)。因为RCM网格盒代表空间平均值,使用观察到的数据研究了降雨数据的造成降雨数据对事件特征的影响。然后将来自RCM模拟的降雨事件与来自现场和区域平均观察的影响。尽管与观察结果相比,由于重度事件而导致的重型事件和季节性降水量的模拟数量相对较好。 RCM-模拟的事件深度与面积平均观察相当,而事件持续时间受到高估,并且与降雨强度有关的其他特性被显着低估。 RCM模拟和现场观察到的降雨事件特征的差异通常由气候模型的偏差而不是区域平均效应。大多数RCM模拟中大多数的降雨事件特征都显示了与观察到的数据中类似的高度依赖模式。由于大海拔地区的重型事件增加,由于沉重的事件而导致的重型事件和季节性降水量,并且通过具有更高空间分辨率的RCM模拟更好地捕获这种依赖性。

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