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Fuzzy Models of the Dangerous Situations Prediction

机译:危险情况预测的模糊模型

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One of the main problems of modern sea and inland water transport is ensuring the safety of navigation. This problem is caused by the influence of various factors, both directly on the vessels and on the personnel of their operators. It should be noted that one of the key elements of ensuring the safety of navigation is ensuring the safety of navigation of vessels. Every day navigators face many situations directly related to the safety of navigation. These situations are random in nature, and statistical data for most of these situations are missing or incomplete, which does not allow us to find high-quality solutions based on the use of modern computing systems. In addition, do not forget about the influence of the human factor on situational decisions. However, the prospects for the introduction of unmanned technologies in water transport require the use of special computational approaches that allow us to obtain appropriate assessments of situations related to ensuring the safety of navigation. In this paper, the authors propose several variants of fuzzy models that can be used to predict dangerous situations on sea and inland water transport. The article also provides examples of their possible use. Special attention is paid to the possibility of predicting the impact of the human factor on the occurrence of dangerous situations.
机译:现代海洋和内陆水运的主要问题之一是确保航行的安全。这个问题是由各种因素的影响,无论是直接对船只还是运营商人员都会引起的。应当注意,确保导航安全的关键要素之一是确保船舶航行的安全性。每天导航员都面临着与航行安全直接相关的情况。这些情况本质上是随机的,大多数情况下的统计数据丢失或不完整,这不允许我们根据现代计算系统找到高质量的解决方案。此外,不要忘记人为因素对情境决策的影响。但是,在水运中引入无人技术的前景需要使用特殊的计算方法,使我们能够获得与确保导航安全相关的情况的适当评估。在本文中,作者提出了几种模糊模型的变种,可用于预测海洋和内陆水运输的危险情况。本文还提供了他们可能使用的例子。特别注意需要预测人类因素对危险情况发生的影响。

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