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Converting snow depth to snow water equivalent using climatological variables

机译:使用气候变量将雪深度转换为雪水等同

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We present a simple method that allows snow depth measurements to be converted to snow water equivalent (SWE) estimates. These estimates are useful to individuals interested in water resources, ecological function, and avalanche forecasting. They can also be assimilated into models to help improve predictions of total water volumes over large regions. The conversion of depth to SWE is particularly valuable since snow depth measurements are far more numerous than costlier and more complex SWE measurements. Our model regresses SWE against snow depth (h), day of water year (DOY) and climatological (30-year normal) values for winter (December, January, February) precipitation (PPTWT), and the difference (TD) between mean temperature of the warmest month and mean temperature of the coldest month, producing a power-law relationship. Relying on climatological normals rather than weather data for a given year allows our model to be applied at measurement sites lacking a weather station. Separate equations are obtained for the accumulation and the ablation phases of the snowpack. The model is validated against a large database of snow pillow measurements and yields a bias in SWE of less than 2mm and a root-mean-squared error (RMSE) in SWE of less than 60mm. The model is additionally validated against two completely independent sets of data: one from western North America and one from the northeastern United States. Finally, the results are compared with three other models for bulk density that have varying degrees of complexity and that were built in multiple geographic regions. The results show that the model described in this paper has the best performance for the validation data sets.
机译:我们提出了一种简单的方法,允许雪深度测量转换为雪水等效(SWE)估计。这些估计对于对水资源,生态功能和雪崩预测感兴趣的个人有用。它们也可以被同化成模型,以帮助改善大区域的总水量的预测。由于雪深度测量比肋骨更大,更复杂的SWE测量,因此深度转换为SWE对SWE特别有价值。我们的模型在冬季(12月,1月,2月)降水(PPTWT)和平均温度之间的冬季(十二月)和气候(30年正常)值和气候(30年正常)价值观中的雪深(H),日益(30年正常)值以及平均气温之间的差异(TD)最温暖的月份和平均温度最冷的月份,产生权力的关系。依靠气候机的法线而不是给定年的天气数据允许我们的模型应用于缺乏气象站的测量网站。为积分和积雪的消融阶段获得单独的等式。该模型针对大型雪芯测量数据库验证,并在小于2mm的SWE中产生偏差,并且SWE的根平均误差(RMSE)小于60mm。该模型另外验证了两个完全独立的数据集:来自西北美国的一组,其中一个来自美国东北部。最后,将结果与三种其他模型进行比较,用于堆积密度具有不同程度的复杂性,并且内置于多个地理区域。结果表明,本文中描述的模型对验证数据集具有最佳性能。

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