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The impact of a new high-resolution ocean model on the Met Office North-West European Shelf forecasting system

机译:新型高分辨率海洋模型对欧洲欧洲欧洲欧洲货架预测系统的影响

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The North-West European Shelf ocean forecasting system has been providing oceanographic products for the European continental shelf seas for more than 15?years. In that time, several different configurations have been implemented, updating the model and the data assimilation components. The latest configuration to be put in operation, an eddy-resolving model at 1.5km?(AMM15), replaces the 7km model?(AMM7) that has been used for 8?years to deliver forecast products to the Copernicus Marine Environment Monitoring Service and its precursor projects. This has improved the ability to resolve the mesoscale variability in this area. An overview of this new system and its initial validation is provided in this paper, highlighting the differences with the previous version. Validation of the model with data assimilation is based on the results of 2?years?(2016–2017) of trial experiments run with the low- and high-resolution systems in their operational configuration. The 1.5km system has been validated against observations and the low-resolution system, trying to understand the impact of the high resolution on the quality of the products delivered to the users. Although the number of observations is a limiting factor, especially for the assessment of model variables like currents and salinity, the new system has been proven to be an improvement in resolving fine-scale structures and variability and provides more accurate information on the major physical variables, like temperature, salinity, and horizontal currents. AMM15 improvements are evident from the validation against high-resolution observations, available in some selected areas of the model domain. However, validation at the basin scale and using daily means penalized the high-resolution system and does not reflect its superior performance. This increment in resolution also improves the capabilities to provide marine information closer to the coast even if the coastal processes are not fully resolved by the model.
机译:西北欧洲货架海洋预测系统一直为欧洲欧式货物海洋提供海洋造物产品超过15岁以下的时间。在那时,已经实现了几种不同的配置,更新了模型和数据同化组件。要进行的最新配置,一个涡旋模型为1.5km?(AM5),取代了7公里的型号?(AMM7)已用于8个?多年来将预测产品提供给Copernicus Marine环境监测服务和它的前体项目。这提高了解决该领域中尺度变异性的能力。本文提供了此新系统及其初始验证的概述,突出显示与以前版本的差异。使用数据同化验证的模型基于2?年的结果,试验实验在其运行配置中使用低分辨率和高分辨率系统运行。 1.5KM系统已被验证对抗观测和低分辨率系统,试图了解高分辨率对向用户提供的产品质量的影响。虽然观察人数是限制因素,但特别是对于评估模型变量,如电流和盐度,但新系统已被证明是解决微尺度结构和可变性的改进,并提供了关于主要物理变量的更准确的信息,如温度,盐度和水平电流。从模型域的一些选定区域中提供的验证,AMM15改进是明显的。然而,盆地规模和使用日常的验证意味着惩罚高分辨率系统,并不反映其卓越的性能。即使沿海进程未通过模型完全解决,此类增量也可以提高提供近距离海岸的海洋信息的功能。

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