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Predictive analytics by deep machine learning: A call for next‐gen tools to improve health care

机译:深度机学习预测分析:呼吁下一个工具改善医疗保健

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With the massive growth in computing capacity and the connectivitythat exists in the world today, medicine has changed drastically.These changes bring opportunity for more change to improvehealth care. Medical information is now available at our fingertipsand can be acquired rapidly. As such, the massive memorizingtasks and learning skills of the past are less relevant. Robust clinicalpathways are available in apps, online medical care tools, andhealth information systems, and in some cases are proven to improvepatient care, with failure to follow them resulting in worsepatient outcomes.1 Thirty years ago, there were only a handful ofclinical prediction algorithms/models to assist physicians in decisionmaking. Now there are hundreds. Despite this, the uptake of algorithmsin clinical practice has been slow, sporadic, and fraught withskepticism.2 This uptake, or lack thereof, has been justified by argumentsthat predictive algorithms were developed in populations ofpatients that were not necessarily applicable to “the patient in frontof me.” In other words, studies were not generalizable. Yet physicianshave become all too quick to order diagnostic tests withoutfollowing algorithms or predictive tools under the assumption thatthis is best, and ignoring the possibility of harm, including radiationexposure, false-positive tests, and the economic burden on society.It is estimated that 5% of the US gross domestic product is spent ondiagnostic tests and procedures that do not result in any improvementin patient outcomes.3.
机译:随着计算能力的巨大增长,当今世界存在康全层,医学发生了巨大的变化。这些变化带来了更多改变改善健康护理的机会。现在可以在我们的指尖和迅速获取医疗信息。因此,过去的大规模记忆和学习技巧不太相关。在应用程序,在线医疗护理工具,和健康信息系统中提供强大的临床路线,在某些情况下被证明是为了提高护理,未能遵循他们在三十年前的情况下导致更糟糕的结果.1。只有少数临床预测算法/模型,以帮助医生决定。现在有数百人。尽管如此,算法临床实践的摄取已经缓慢,零星和充满了承担.2这种吸收或缺乏通过Argumentsthat预测算法是合理的,该算法是在植物的植物中开发,这些算法不一定适用于“前部的患者”我。”换句话说,研究不明显。然而,由于最好的假设,Physicianshave会变得太快,无需在假设下完成算法或预测工具,并且忽略危害的可能性,包括辐射曝光,假阳性测试以及社会的经济负担。据估计估计5%美国国内生产总值是花费ondiagnostic试验和程序,这些测试和程序不会导致任何改进患者结果。

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