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Reptiles on the wrong track? Moving beyond traditional estimators with dynamic Brownian Bridge Movement Models

机译:爬行动物在错误的轨道上?通过动态布朗桥式运动模型超越传统估算器

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Abstract Background Animal movement expressed through home ranges or space-use can offer insights into spatial and habitat requirements. However, different classes of estimation methods are currently instinctively applied to answer home range, space-use or movement-based research questions regardless of their widely varying outputs, directly impacting conclusions. Recent technological advances in animal tracking (GPS and satellite tags), have enabled new methods to quantify animal space-use and movement pathways, but so far have primarily targeted mammal and avian species. Methods Most reptile spatial ecology studies only make use of two older home range estimation methods: Minimum Convex Polygons (MCP) and Kernel Density Estimators (KDE), particularly with the Least Squares Cross Validation (LSCV) and reference ( h ref ) bandwidth selection algorithms. These methods are frequently applied to answer space-use and movement-based questions. Reptile movement patterns are unique (e.g. , low movement frequency, long stop-over periods), prompting investigation into whether newer movement-based methods –such as dynamic Brownian Bridge Movement Models (dBBMMs)– apply to Very High Frequency (VHF) radio-telemetry tracking data. We simulated movement data for three archetypical reptile species: a highly mobile active hunter, an ambush predator with long-distance moves and long-term sheltering periods, and an ambush predator with short-distance moves and short-term sheltering periods. We compared traditionally used estimators, MCP and KDE, with dBBMMs, across eight feasible VHF field sampling regimes for reptiles, varying from one data point every four daylight hours, to once per month. Results Although originally designed for GPS tracking studies, dBBMMs outperformed MCPs and KDE h ref across all tracking regimes in accurately revealing movement pathways, with only KDE LSCV performing comparably at some higher frequency sampling regimes. However, the LSCV algorithm failed to converge with these high-frequency regimes due to high site fidelity, and was unstable across sampling regimes, making its use problematic for species exhibiting long-term sheltering behaviours. We found that dBBMMs minimized the effect of individual variation, maintained low error rates balanced between omission (false negative) and commission (false positive), and performed comparatively well even under low frequency sampling regimes (e.g., once a month). Conclusions We recommend dBBMMs as a valuable alternative to MCP and KDE methods for reptile VHF telemetry data, for research questions associated with space-use and movement behaviours within the study period: they work under contemporary tracking protocols and provide more stable estimates. We demonstrate for the first time that dBBMMs can be applied confidently to low-resolution tracking data, while improving comparisons across regimes, individuals, and species.
机译:摘要背景通过家庭范围或空间用途表达的动物运动可以为空间和栖息地要求提供洞察力。然而,不同类别的估计方法目前是本能地应用于回答家庭范围,空间使用或运动的研究问题,无论其广泛不同的产出,直接影响结论。最近的动物跟踪(GPS和卫星标签)的技术进步使得能够量化动物空间使用和运动途径,但到目前为止主要有针对性的哺乳动物和禽类。方法采用大多数爬行动物空间生态学研究仅利用两个较旧的家庭范围估计方法:最小凸多边形(MCP)和内核密度估计器(KDE),特别是具有最小二乘交叉验证(LSCV)和参考(H REF)带宽选择算法。这些方法经常应用于应答空间使用和基于运动的问题。爬行动物的运动模式是独特的(例如,低移动频率,长期停止时段),提示调查新的基于运动的方法-SUCH作为动态布朗桥运动模型(DBBMMS) - 适用于非常高的频率(VHF)无线电 - 遥测跟踪数据。我们模拟三种原型爬行动物物种的运动数据:一个高度移动的主动猎人,一个具有长距离移动和长期避难期的伏击捕食者,以及具有短距离移动和短期避难期的伏击捕食者。我们将传统上使用的估算器,MCP和KDE与DBBMM进行比较,横跨爬行动物的八个可行的VHF现场采样制度,从每四个日光小时到每一个数据点变化,每月一次。结果虽然最初设计用于GPS跟踪研究,但DBBMMS在准确揭示运动途径中跨所有跟踪制度表现出MCP和KDE H铅,只有KDE LSCV在一些更高的频率采样制度下执行。然而,由于高网站保真度,LSCV算法未能随着这些高频制度而收敛,并且在采样制度跨越采样制度不稳定,使其对展示长期避难行为的物种有问题。我们发现DBBMM最小化各个变体的效果,保持遗漏(假阴性)和佣金之间平衡的低误差率(假阳性),并且即使在低频采样制度下(例如,每月一次)相对较好地执行。结论我们建议DBBMMS作为爬行动物VHF遥测数据的MCP和KDE方法的有价值的替代品,用于研究期内与空间使用和运动行为相关的研究问题:它们在当代跟踪协议下工作并提供更稳定的估算。我们首次演示DBBMMS可以自信地应用于低分辨率跟踪数据,同时改善跨越制度,个人和物种的比较。

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