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GLOBAL STABILITY OF AN EPIDEMIC MODEL WITH TWO INFECTED STAGES AND MASS-ACTION INCIDENCE

机译:具有两个受感染阶段和大规模行动发病率的疫情模型的全球稳定性

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In this research work, we study the global stability of the SIR model which describes the dynamics of infectious disease with two classes of infected stages and varying total population size. The incidence used in the mathematical modeling was the mass-action incidence. The basic reproduction number R0 is computed. If the basic reproduction number is less than one, then the disease-free equilibrium point is locally and globally asymptotically stable. Existence and uniqueness of the endemic equilibrium is established when the basic reproduction number is greater than one and locally stable. We prove that global stability of the disease free equilibrium point using Lyapunov function. Numerical simulations have been carried out applying mat lab. Our result show that if the basic reproduction number R0 is below one the disease free equilibrium point is locally and globally stable in the feasible region, so that the disease dies out. If the basic reproduction number R0 is greater than one a unique endemic equilibrium point is locally asymptotically stable and the disease free equilibrium point is unstable in the interior of the feasible region and the disease will persist at the endemic equilibrium point if it is initially present.
机译:在这项研究工作中,我们研究了SIR模型的全球稳定性,该模型描述了具有两类感染阶段的传染病动态和不同人口大小。数学建模中使用的发病率是大规模动作的发病率。计算基本的再现号码R0。如果基本再现数小于一个,则无疾病平衡点在本地和全球渐近稳定。当基本再现数大于一个和局部稳定时,建立了流行均衡的存在和唯一性。我们证明了使用Lyapunov功能的无疾病平衡点的全局稳定性。数值模拟已经进行了应用MAT实验室。我们的结果表明,如果基本繁殖数R0低于疾病的均衡点,则在可行区域局部和全球稳定,因此疾病模仿了。如果基本再现数R0大于一个独特的地方均衡点,则在局部渐近稳定,并且在可行区域的内部,无疾病的平衡点在最初存在的情况下,这种疾病将在流动性平衡点处持续存在。

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