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Bus Travel Time: Experimental Evidence and Forecasting

机译:巴士旅行时间:实验证据和预测

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Bus travel time analysis plays a key role in transit operation planning, and methods are needed for investigating its variability and for forecasting need. Nowadays, telematics is opening up new opportunities, given that large datasets can be gathered through automated monitoring, and this topic can be studied in more depth with new experimental evidence. The paper proposes a time-series-based approach for travel time forecasting, and data from automated vehicle monitoring (AVM) of bus lines sharing the road lanes with other traffic in Rome (Italy) and Lviv (Ukraine) are used. The results show the goodness of such an approach for the analysis and reliable forecasts of bus travel times. The similarities and dissimilarities in terms of travel time patterns and city structure were also pointed out, showing the need to take them into account when developing forecasting methods.
机译:总线旅行时间分析在运输运营规划中起着关键作用,需要进行调查其变异性和预测需求的方法。如今,鉴于可以通过自动化监控可以收集大型数据集,可以使用新的实验证据来研究大型数据集,从而开辟了新的机会。本文提出了一种基于时间序列的旅行时间预测方法,以及来自罗马(意大利)和利沃夫(乌克兰)的其他流量的公交车辆的自动化车辆监测(AVM)数据。结果表明,这种方法的良好分析和可靠的公交车程时间预测。还指出了旅行时间模式和城市结构方面的相似之处和不同,表明在开发预测方法时需要考虑到它们。

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