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OLYMPUS v1.0: development of an integrated air pollutant and GHG urban emissions model – methodology and calibration over greater Paris

机译:Olympus V1.0:开发综合空气污染物和GHG城市排放模型 - 在大巴黎的方法论和校准

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Air pollutants and greenhouse gases have many effects on health, the economy, urban climate and atmospheric environment. At the city level, the transport and heating sectors contribute significantly to air pollution. In order to quantify the impact of urban policies on anthropogenic air pollutants, the main processes leading to emissions need to be understood: they principally include mobility for work and leisure as well as household behavior, themselves impacted by a variety of social parameters. In this context, the OLYMPUS modeling platform has been designed for environmental decision support. It generates a synthetic population of individuals and defines the mobility of each individual in the city through an activity-based approach of travel demand. The model then spatializes road traffic by taking into account congestion on the road network. It also includes a module that estimates the energy demand of the territory by calculating the unit energy consumption of households and the commercial–institutional sector. Finally, the emissions associated with all the modeled activities are calculated using the COPERT emission factors for traffic and the European Environmental Agency (EEA) methodology for heating-related combustion. The comparison of emissions with AIRPARIF's regional inventory shows discrepancies that are consistent with differences in assumptions and input data, mainly in the sense of underestimation. The methodological choices and the potential ways of improvement, including the refinement of traffic congestion modeling and of the transport of goods, are discussed.
机译:空气污染物和温室气体对健康,经济,城市气候和大气环境具有许多影响。在城市一级,运输和加热部门对空气污染有显着贡献。为了量化城市政策对人为空气污染物的影响,需要了解排放的主要流程:它们主要包括工作和休闲以及家庭行为的流动性,自身受到各种社会参数的影响。在这方面,奥林巴斯建模平台专为环境决策支持而设计。它通过基于活动的旅行需求方法产生了个体的合成群体,并定义了城市中每个人的移动性。该模型然后通过在道路网络上的拥堵中时代道路交通。它还包括一个模块,通过计算家庭和商业制度部门的单位能量消耗来估计该领土的能源需求。最后,利用交通和欧洲环境署(EEA)方法的Coperer排放因子来计算与所有建模活动相关的排放,用于加热相关的燃烧。 AirPARIF区域库存的排放比较显示了与假设和输入数据的差异一致的差异,主要是在低估的感觉中。讨论了方法论选择和潜在的改进方式,包括交通拥堵建模和货物运输的细化。

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