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PM2.5∕PM10 ratio prediction based on a long short-term memory neural network in Wuhan, China

机译:PM2.5 / PM10比率预测,基于武汉武汉长期内存神经网络的比率预测

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Air pollution is a serious problem in China that urgently needs to be addressed. Air pollution has a great impact on the lives of citizens and on urban development. The particulate matter (PM) value is usually used to indicate the degree of air pollution. In addition to that of PM2.5 and PM10, the use of the PM2.5∕PM10 ratio as an indicator and assessor of air pollution has also become more widespread. This ratio reflects the air pollution conditions and pollution sources. In this paper, a better composite prediction system aimed at improving the accuracy and spatiotemporal applicability of PM2.5∕PM10 was proposed. First, the aerosol optical depth (AOD) in 2017 in Wuhan was obtained based on Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) images, with a 1km spatial resolution, by using the dense dark vegetation (DDV) method. Second, the AOD was corrected by calculating the planetary boundary layer height (PBLH) and relative humidity (RH). Third, the coefficient of determination of the optimal subset selection was used to select the factor with the highest correlation with PM2.5∕PM10 from meteorological factors and gaseous pollutants. Then, PM2.5∕PM10 predictions based on time, space, and random patterns were obtained by using nine factors (the corrected AOD, meteorological data, and gaseous pollutant data) with the long short-term memory (LSTM) neural network method, which is a dynamic model that remembers historical information and applies it to the current output. Finally, the LSTM model prediction results were compared and analyzed with the results of other intelligent models. The results showed that the LSTM model had significant advantages in the average, maximum, and minimum accuracy and the stability of PM2.5∕PM10 prediction.
机译:空气污染是中国的严重问题,迫切需要解决。空气污染对公民的生活和城市发展产生了很大影响。颗粒物质(PM)值通常用于指示空气污染程度。除了PM2.5和PM10之外,PM2.5 / PM10比例作为空气污染的指标和评估率也变得更加普遍。该比率反映了空气污染条件和污染源。本文提出了一种更好的复合预测系统,旨在提高PM2.5 / PM10的准确性和时空适用性。首先,通过使用致密的暗植被(DDV)方法,基于中度分辨率成像光谱辐射计(MODIS)图像获得武汉2017年2017年的气溶胶光学深度(AOD)。其次,通过计算行星边界层高度(PBLH)和相对湿度(RH)来校正AOD。第三,使用最佳子集选择的测定系数来选择与气象因子和气态污染物的PM2.5 / PM10相关的因子。然后,通过使用九个因素(校正的AOD,气象数据和气态污染物数据)与长短短期记忆(LSTM)神经网络方法,获得PM2.5 / PM10预测,获得了基于时间,空间和随机模式的预测,这是一个动态模型,以记住历史信息并将其应用于当前输出。最后,使用其他智能模型的结果进行比较和分析LSTM模型预测结果。结果表明,LSTM模型的平均优点具有显着的优点,最低的精度和PM2.5 / PM10预测的稳定性。

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