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Assessing the Impact of Non-Conventional Radar and SurfaceObservations on High-Resolution Analyses and Forecasts of a SevereHailstorm

机译:评估非常规雷达和STAFEBSERACATIONS对高分辨率分析和预测的严格喧嚣的影响

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A 2009 National Research Council study recommended that new mesoscale observing networks beintegrated with existing networks to form a nationwide “network of networks”. The report alsorecommended that research testbeds be established, such as the Center for Collaborative Adaptive Sensingof the Atmosphere (CASA) DFW Testbed, to ascertain the potential benefit of proposed observing systems.In this work, we use various conventional and non-conventional observing systems from the DFW Testbedin a series of observing system experiments (OSEs). Of special interest are radar data from TerminalDoppler Weather Radars and CASA X-band radars, as well as novel surface observations. The AdvancedRegional Prediction System (ARPS) model is used to perform OSEs that are designed to assess the impactof these observing systems. A three-dimensional variational analysis system and companion complexcloud analysis are used to produce analysis increments, which are assimilated in ARPS using IncrementalAnalysis Updating. Experiments are performed on a supercell thunderstorm case from 11 April 2016 thatproduced large, damaging hail. The analysis includes quantitative comparisons of model-derived hail withradar-observed hail, along with verification of surface fields. The CASA radial velocity data benefited theforecasted storm structure, as it positively affected subsequent storm morphology and model-derived hailforecasts. Of note in surface observation impacts, the dewpoint measurements from the non-conventionalEarth Networks and CWOP networks slightly degrade the forecasted dewpoint field compared toindependent standard observations, but did not prevent the successful prediction of hail.
机译:2009年国家研究委员会研究建议新的Mescale观察网络与现有网络融为一体,以形成全国范围的“网络网络”。该报告aloreCommented将建立研究测试平台,例如大气(CASA)DFW测试的协作自适应感应中心,以确定所提出的观察系统的潜在好处。在此工作中,我们使用各种传统和非传统观测系统DFW TestBedin一系列观察系统实验(OS)。特殊兴趣是来自航空公司天气雷达和CASA X波段雷达的雷达数据,以及新的表面观察。 AdvancedRegional预测系统(ARPS)模型用于执行旨在评估这些观察系统的影响的OS。三维变形分析系统和伴随复合Cloud分析用于产生分析增量,其使用增量分析更新在ARP中同化。实验在2016年4月11日的超级雷暴案件上进行,这使得大规模损害冰雹。该分析包括用radar-Deparated Hail的模型衍生冰雹的定量比较,以及表面场的验证。 CASA径向速度数据受益于TheForected Storm结构,因为它积极影响后续风暴形态和模型衍生的Hailecasts。在表面观察影响中,非特写州网络和CWOP网络的露点测量略微降低了预测的露点场,而不是依赖标准观察,但没有阻止冰雹的成功预测。

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