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Estimating community feedback effect on topic choice in social media with predictive modeling

机译:预测建模的社交媒体主题选择估算社区反馈影响

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Social media users post content on various topics. A defining feature of social media is that other users can provide feedback—called community feedback—to their content in the form of comments, replies, and retweets. We hypothesize that the amount of received feedback influences the choice of topics on which a social media user posts. However, it is challenging to test this hypothesis as user heterogeneity and external confounders complicate measuring the feedback effect. Here, we investigate this hypothesis with a predictive approach based on an interpretable model of an author’s decision to continue the topic of their previous post. We explore the confounding factors, including author’s topic preferences and unobserved external factors such as news and social events, by optimizing the predictive accuracy. This approach enables us to identify which users are susceptible to community feedback. Overall, we find that 33% and 14% of active users in Reddit and Twitter, respectively, are influenced by community feedback. The model suggests that this feedback alters the probability of topic continuation up to 14%, depending on the user and the amount of feedback.
机译:社交媒体用户在各种主题上发布内容。社交媒体的定义特征是其他用户可以以注释,回复和转发的形式提供给名为Community反馈 - 他们的内容。我们假设收到的反馈量影响了社交媒体用户职位的主题的选择。然而,作为用户的异质性和外部混淆来测试这一假设是挑战性的,使反馈效果复杂化。在这里,我们通过基于作者决定继续他们之前帖子的主题的可解释模型来调查这一假设。我们通过优化预测准确性,我们探讨了作者的主题偏好和外部因素,包括新闻和社会事件等外部因素。这种方法使我们能够确定哪些用户易受社区反馈的影响。总体而言,我们发现,雷迪特和Twitter中的33%和14%的活跃用户受到社区反馈的影响。该模型表明,此反馈会改变主题延续的可能性高达14%,具体取决于用户和反馈量。

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