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Assessing United States County-Level Exposure for Research on Tropical Cyclones and Human Health

机译:评估美国县级接触对热带旋风和人类健康的研究

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Background: Tropical cyclone epidemiology can be advanced through exposure assessment methods that are comprehensive and consistent across space and time, as these facilitate multiyear, multistorm studies. Further, an understanding of patterns in and between exposure metrics that are based on specific hazards of the storm can help in designing tropical cyclone epidemiological research. Objectives: a ) Provide an open-source data set for tropical cyclone exposure assessment for epidemiological research; and b ) investigate patterns and agreement between county-level assessments of tropical cyclone exposure based on different storm hazards. Methods: We created an open-source data set with data at the county level on exposure to four tropical cyclone hazards: peak sustained wind, rainfall, flooding, and tornadoes. The data cover all eastern U.S. counties for all land-falling or near-land Atlantic basin storms, covering 1996–2011 for all metrics and up to 1988–2018 for specific metrics. We validated measurements against other data sources and investigated patterns and agreement among binary exposure classifications based on these metrics, as well as compared them to use of distance from the storm’s track, which has been used as a proxy for exposure in some epidemiological studies. Results: Our open-source data set was typically consistent with data from other sources, and we present and discuss areas of disagreement and other caveats. Over the study period and area, tropical cyclones typically brought different hazards to different counties. Therefore, when comparing exposure assessment between different hazard-specific metrics, agreement was usually low, as it also was when comparing exposure assessment based on a distance-based proxy measurement and any of the hazard-specific metrics. Discussion: Our results provide a multihazard data set that can be leveraged for epidemiological research on tropical cyclones, as well as insights that can inform the design and analysis for tropical cyclone epidemiological research.
机译:背景:热带气旋流行病学可以通过曝光评估方法进行全面且跨空间和时间一致,因为这些促进了多年,多年度研究。此外,对基于风暴的特定危害的曝光度量和曝光度量之间的模式的理解可以有助于设计热带气旋流行病学研究。目的:a)为流行病学研究提供热带旋风曝光评估的开源数据集; b)根据不同风暴危害,调查热带气旋曝光的县级评估之间的模式和协议。方法:我们创建了一个带有县级数据的开源数据集,接触四个热带气旋危险:峰值持续风,降雨,洪水和龙卷风。该数据涵盖所有落地或近陆地区大西洋盆地风暴的所有东部,覆盖了1996-2011,适用于所有指标,高达1988 - 2018年的特定指标。我们根据这些指标对其他数据来源和调查模式和调查模式进行了验证的测量,以及将它们与风暴轨道的距离进行比较,这已被用作在某些流行病学研究中的接触的代理。结果:我们的开源数据集通常与来自其他来源的数据一致,我们展示并讨论分歧和其他警告的领域。在研究时期和地区,热带气旋通常为不同的县带来了不同的危险。因此,当比较不同危险的指标之间的曝光评估时,协议通常很低,因为它还在基于基于距离的代理测量和任何危险特定度量的曝光评估时。讨论:我们的结果提供了一个多士巴达数据集,可以利用热带气旋的流行病学研究,以及可以为热带气旋流行病学研究提供信息和分析的见解。

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