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Managing challenges of increasing complexity in sustainability

机译:管理越来越多的可持续性复杂性的挑战

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The paradigm under which our society and economy have operated until now has become obsolete in the 21st century. Some Nobel Prize-winner economists made it clear that we have to forget the paradigm currently dominating the global economy: "Let’s privatize the benefits and socialize (distribute) its costs as much as possible!" The results of it are extremely and rapidly increasing inequalities, followed by unmanageable socio-economic - environmental tensions. It seems we could get out of this situation only with radical social and economic transformations, both globally and at the lower levels (countries, regions, localities). There isn’t another solution just the social and economic paradigm exchange parallel with each other. Interconnected and not separated them. But many big challenges are coming up from the natural and the technological environment too and they are rooted in the human-made systems. So altogether we are facing the quickly changing complexity and an unknown situation in the history of humanity. We don't have appropriate methods and experiences how to deal with these new types of challenges but there isn't any other choice just to manage them. Despite this fact, there are very few studies about the causes and consequences of this rapidly growing problem in the era of growing sustainability risks. Similarly, there is very little practical information that provides actionable advice on how to manage these problems at different (global-, macro-, and micro-) levels of social and economic organizations. We define complexity as the number of components in a system plus the variety of relationships among these components plus the speed of changes of both the components and the relationships. Larger systems (like social - economic - ecological systems) are often very complex – but they may be more complicated if their behavior is unpredictable. Based on the global databases and reports we investigated the trials of countries how prepared they are for managing the growing complexity in the field of implementing the Sustainable Development Goals. We have found that in most of the countries (and globally too) experts are choosing the simplest way - they deal with the goals separately from each other and don't take into account the very complicated system of their interconnections and the feedback loops. We have tried to summarize some conclusions for the future about what would be the better approach to deal with the complexity.
机译:在21世纪,我们的社会和经济运作的范式在现在已经过时了。一些诺贝尔奖获奖者经济学家明确表示,我们必须忘记目前主导全球经济的范例:“让我们尽可能多地私有化和社交(分发)其费用!”结果的结果越来越快,不平等,其次是无管理的社会经济 - 环境紧张局势。似乎我们只能通过全球和较低层次(国家,地区,地方)的激进社会和经济转型来摆脱这种情况。没有另一种解决方案只是社会和经济范式互相交流。相互连接,没有分开它们。但是,许多大挑战也来自自然和技术环境,它们植根于人造系统。因此,我们正面临着迅速改变的复杂性和人类历史上的未知情况。我们没有适当的方法和经验如何处理这些新类型的挑战,但没有任何其他选择可以管理它们。尽管事实上,在日益增长的可持续性风险时代,对这种迅速增长的问题的原因和后果的研究非常少。同样,很少的实用信息,提供有关如何在不同(全球,宏观和微型)的社会和经济组织水平的情况下管理这些问题的可操作建议。我们将复杂性定义为系统中的组件数加上这些组件之间的各种关系加上组件和关系的变化速度。更大的系统(如社会经济 - 生态系统)往往非常复杂 - 但如果他们的行为是不可预测的,他们可能会更加复杂。根据全球数据库和报告,我们调查了各国的试验,他们如何准备他们在实施可持续发展目标领域的越来越多的复杂性。我们发现,在大多数国家(以及全球)专家都选择了最简单的方式 - 他们互相分开地处理目标,并不考虑其互连和反馈循环的非常复杂的系统。我们试图为未来总结一些结论,了解如何处理复杂性的更好方法。

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