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Post-Harvest Loss Modeling of Maize Produce in Kenya

机译:肯尼亚玉米生产后收获后损失建模

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The classical linear model is commonly used to model the relationship between a response variable and a set of explanatory variables. The normality assumption is usually required so as to ease the hypothesis testing for the various linear regression models but it can be misleading for a proportional response variable that is bounded. This makes the ordinary least squares regression inappropriate for a regression model with a bounded dependent variable. This research proposes the fractional beta regression model as an alternative to help examine the determinants of post-harvest loss management of maize produce for farmers in Kenya. The response variable (Post-Harvest Loss Coefficient (PHLC)) is assumed to have a mixed continuous-discrete distribution with probability mass between zero and one. The fractional beta distribution is used to describe the continuous component of the model, since its density has a wide range of different shapes depending on the values of the two parameters that index the distribution. The study uses a suitable parameterization of the beta law in terms of its mean and a precision parameter, the parameters of the mixture distribution shall be modeled as functions of regression parameters. The considered parameters are Agriculture, Storage, Education, Fumigation and Transport. Inference on parameters, model diagnostics and model selection tools for the fractional beta regression is also be provided. Data used for this research was purely primary data which was collected from Uasin Gishu County, Kenya maize farmers through administration of a research questionnaire.
机译:经典线性模型通常用于模拟响应变量与一组解释变量之间的关系。通常需要正常性假设,以便能够缓解各种线性回归模型的假设检测,但它可能是界限的比例响应变量的误导性。这使得具有界限相关变量的普通最小二乘因素不适当的回归模型。本研究提出了分数β回归模型,作为帮助检查肯尼亚农民玉米产量后收获损失管理的决定因素的替代方案。假设响应变量(收集后损耗系数(PHLC))具有与零和一个之间的概率质量的混合连续离散分布。分数β分布用于描述模型的连续组件,因为它的密度具有宽范围的不同形状,这取决于索引分布的两个参数的值。该研究在其平均值和精确参数方面使用了Beta法的合适参数化,混合分布的参数应作为回归参数的函数建模。考虑的参数是农业,储存,教育,熏蒸和运输。还提供了参数的推理,还提供了用于分数β回归的模型诊断和模型选择工具。用于本研究的数据是由肯尼亚玉米农民的Uasin Gishu County收集的纯粹主要数据,通过管理研究问卷。

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