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首页> 外文期刊>International Journal of Renewable Energy Development >Optimal Investment Strategy for Solar PV Integration in Residential Buildings: A Case Study in The Philippines
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Optimal Investment Strategy for Solar PV Integration in Residential Buildings: A Case Study in The Philippines

机译:住宅建筑中太阳能光伏集成的最优投资策略 - 以菲律宾为例

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摘要

In developing countries, particularly in rural areas, long periods of power outages are experienced as the electricity grid is technically or economically unfeasible.? As solar photovoltaic (PV) is the most potential and suitable source of renewable energy for these areas, this paper analyzes the economic viability of its integration in different types of residential buildings. Applying real optionsapproach under uncertainty in electricity prices, this study compares the attractiveness of adopting solar PV over continuing electricity from the grid focusing on various investment payment schemes including (i) full payment, (ii) distributed payment for 5 or 10 years without a down payment, and (iii) distributed payment for 5 or 10 years with 20% or 40% down payment. Applying the model with the case of the Philippines, the resultswith the full payment strategy obtain option values of USD 6888 for building type-I, USD 15349 for building type-II, USD 21204 for building type-III, USD 27870 for building type-IV, and USD 34251 for building type-V. These option values increase by 21.6% and 22.5% with distributed payment scheme to a 5- or 10-year period and increase by 5% and 13% for distributed payment with 40% and 20% down payment. These option values decrease with investments at later periods. Contrary to the conventional option valuation results of an optimal decision to wait, our findings show the otherwise as earlier investment reduces the risk of opportunity loss from delaying the adoption of solar PV. Among the payment schemes analyzed, the distribution of PV system cost in a 10-year installment periodwithout down payment shows to be the most optimal investment strategy which may encourage lower-income and risk-averse consumers whose decision to adopt solar PV is affected by cost barriers, economic status, and household income. The study suggests the government, particularly in developing countries, to support the integration of own-use solar PV in buildings through incentives and subsidies, as well as financial institutions to offer more affordable terms of payment that encourages low to medium income households to adopt solar PV.Further, this will not only augment the energy deficiency in these countries but also support the global aspirations of reducing greenhouse gas emissions and its adverse effects through gradually shifting to renewable sources of energy.
机译:在发展中国家,特别是在农村地区,由于电网在技术上或经济上不可行时,长期的停电。由于太阳能光伏(PV)是这些领域最具潜力和适当的可再生能源来源,分析了其在不同类型的住宅建筑中整合的经济可行性。本研究将Real OptionsAlck应用于不确定性,这项研究比较了采用太阳能光伏在持续电力的吸引力,从网格上专注于各种投资支付计划,(i)全额付款,(ii)未经下调5或10年分发付款付款,(iii)分发5或10年的付款,预付款20%或40%。将该模型应用于菲律宾的情况,结果全部支付策略获取建筑物I型的6888美元的期权值,用于建筑II型,21204美元用于建筑-III,27870美元用于建筑类型 - IV,和USD 34251建筑类型-V。这些期权值增加了21.6%和22.5%,分布式支付方案到5年或10年期,分布式支付的5%和13%,分布式支付40%和20%的付款。这些选项值随着较晚期间的投资而减少。与常规期权估值结果相反,我们的调查结果显示,随着早期的投资,否则否则会降低延迟太阳能光伏的机会损失的风险。在分析的付款计划中,PV系统成本在10年分期期间的推出趋势​​明确支付表现为最佳的投资策略,这可能鼓励采用太阳能光伏的决定的低收入和风险厌恶消费者受到成本的影响障碍,经济地位和家庭收入。该研究表明,政府,特别是在发展中国家,支持通过激励和补贴以及金融机构来支持自己使用的太阳能光伏在建筑物中的整合,以及提供更实惠的付款条件,以鼓励中等收入家庭采用太阳能PV.Further,这不仅会增加这些国家的能量缺乏,而且还支持通过逐渐转移到可再生能源来减少温室气体排放及其不利影响的全球愿望。

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