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Detecting multiple spatial disease clusters: information criterion and scan statistic approach

机译:检测多个空间疾病集群:信息标准和扫描统计方法

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Detecting the geographical tendency for the presence of a disease or incident is, particularly at an early stage, a key challenge for preventing severe consequences. Given recent rapid advancements in information technologies, it is required a comprehensive framework that enables simultaneous detection of multiple spatial clusters, whether disease cases are randomly scattered or clustered around specific epicenters on a larger scale. We develop a new methodology that detects multiple spatial disease clusters and evaluates its performance compared to existing other methods. A novel framework for spatial multiple-cluster detection is developed. The framework directly stands on the integrated bases of scan statistics and generalized linear models, adopting a new information criterion that selects the appropriate number of disease clusters. We evaluated the proposed approach using a real dataset, the hospital admission for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) in England, and simulated data, whether the approach tends to select the correct number of clusters. A case study and simulation studies conducted both confirmed that the proposed method performed better compared to conventional cluster detection procedures, in terms of higher sensitivity. We proposed a new statistical framework that simultaneously detects and evaluates multiple disease clusters in a large study space, with high detection power compared to conventional approaches.
机译:检测疾病或事件存在的地理倾向,特别是在早期阶段,是防止严重后果的关键挑战。鉴于最近在信息技术方面的快速进步,需要一个全面的框架,使能够同时检测多个空间簇,无论疾病病例是否随机散射或聚集在更大的规模上。我们开发一种新的方法,检测多个空间疾病群集,与现有的其他方法相比评估其性能。开发了一种新颖的空间多簇检测框架。该框架直接位于扫描统计和广义线性模型的集成基础上,采用新的信息标准,可选择适当数量的疾病集群。我们评估了使用真实数据集的拟议方法,在英格兰的慢性阻塞性肺病(COPD)的医院入院,以及模拟数据,是否倾向于选择正确数量的簇。在较高的灵敏度方面证实,进行了案例研究和仿真研究,该方法与常规聚类检测程序相比表现较好。我们提出了一种新的统计框架,其同时检测和评估大型研究空间中的多种疾病集群,与传统方法相比具有高检测功率。

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