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The sensitivity of oceanic precipitation to sea surface temperature

机译:海洋沉淀到海表面温度的敏感性

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Our study forms the oceanic counterpart to numerous observational studies over land concerning the sensitivity of extreme precipitation to a change in air temperature. We explore the sensitivity of oceanic precipitation to changing sea surface temperature (SST) by exploiting two novel datasets at high resolution. First, we use the Ocean Rainfall And Ice-phase precipitation measurement Network (OceanRAIN) as an observational along-track shipboard dataset at 1min resolution. Second, we exploit the most recent European Reanalysis version?5 (ERA5) at hourly resolution on a 31km grid. Matched with each other, ERA5 vertical velocity allows the constraint of the OceanRAIN precipitation. Despite the inhomogeneous sampling along ship tracks, OceanRAIN agrees with ERA5 on the average latitudinal distribution of precipitation with fairly good seasonal sampling. However, the 99th percentile of OceanRAIN precipitation follows a super Clausius–Clapeyron scaling with a SST that exceeds 8.5%K?1 while ERA5 precipitation scales with 4.5%K?1. The sensitivity decreases towards lower precipitation percentiles, while OceanRAIN keeps an almost constant offset to ERA5 due to higher spatial resolution and temporal sampling. Unlike over land, we find no evidence for a decreasing precipitation event duration with increasing SST. ERA5 precipitation reaches a local minimum at about 26°C that vanishes when constraining vertical velocity to strongly rising motion and excluding areas of weak correlation between precipitation and vertical velocity. This indicates that instead of moisture limitations as over land, circulation dynamics rather limit precipitation formation over the ocean. For the strongest rising motion, precipitation scaling converges to a constant value at all precipitation percentiles. Overall, high resolutions in observations and climate models are key to understanding and predicting the sensitivity of oceanic precipitation extremes to a change in SST.
机译:我们的研究形成了大量对陆地的众多观测性研究,了解极端降水对空气温度变化的敏感性。我们通过高分辨率利用两种新型数据集来探讨海洋沉淀到改变海面温度(SST)的敏感性。首先,我们使用海洋降雨量和冰相降量测量网络(OceanRain)作为沿着轨道船板数据集的观察到1min分辨率。其次,我们在31公里的网格上以每小时分辨率利用最新的欧洲再分析版本?5(ERA5)。彼此相匹配,ERA5垂直速度允许欧海沉淀的约束。尽管沿着船舶轨道采样不均匀,但OceanRain同意时代的延迟分布的降水量相当好的季节性抽样。然而,99百分位的欧海沉淀伴随着SST的超级克劳斯·甲蛋白鳞片,其SST超过8.5%k?1,而ERA5沉淀尺度为4.5%K?1。由于更高的空间分辨率和时间采样,敏感性降低较低的降水百分比,而OceanRain由于较高的空间分辨率和时间采样而对ERA5几乎恒定的偏移。与土地不同,我们发现没有证据表明,随着SST的增加,降水事件持续时间减少。 ERA5沉淀在约26℃下达到局部最小值,当限制垂直速度以强烈上升的运动和沉淀与垂直速度之间的弱相关区域而消失。这表明,除了陆地,循环动力学而言,循环动态相当极限地在海洋上限制了水分限制。对于最强的上升运动,降水缩放会聚到所有降水百分位数的恒定值。总体而言,观测和气候模型中的高决议是理解和预测海洋降水极端对SST变化的敏感性的关键。

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