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Global biogenic volatile organic compound emissions in the ORCHIDEE and MEGAN models and sensitivity to key parameters

机译:陆域的全球生物挥发性有机化合物排放和梅根模型和对关键参数的敏感性

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A new version of the biogenic volatile organic compounds (BVOCs) emission scheme has been developed in the global vegetation model ORCHIDEE (Organizing Carbon and Hydrology in Dynamic EcosystEm), which includes an extended list of biogenic emitted compounds, updated emission factors (EFs), a dependency on light for almost all compounds and a multi-layer radiation scheme. Over the 2000–2009 period, using this model, we estimate mean global emissions of 465?Tg?C?yr?1 for isoprene, 107.5?Tg?C?yr?1 for monoterpenes, 38?Tg?C?yr?1 for methanol, 25?Tg?C?yr?1 for acetone and 24?Tg?C?yr?1 for sesquiterpenes. The model results are compared to state-of-the-art emission budgets, showing that the ORCHIDEE emissions are within the range of published estimates. ORCHIDEE BVOC emissions are compared to the estimates of the Model of Emissions of Gases and Aerosols from Nature (MEGAN), which is largely used throughout the biogenic emissions and atmospheric chemistry community. Our results show that global emission budgets of the two models are, in general, in good agreement. ORCHIDEE emissions are 8?% higher for isoprene, 8?% lower for methanol, 17?% higher for acetone, 18?% higher for monoterpenes and 39?% higher for sesquiterpenes, compared to the MEGAN estimates. At the regional scale, the largest differences between ORCHIDEE and MEGAN are highlighted for isoprene in northern temperate regions, where ORCHIDEE emissions are higher by 21?Tg?C?yr?1, and for monoterpenes, where they are higher by 4.4 and 10.2?Tg?C?yr?1 in northern and southern tropical regions compared to MEGAN. The geographical differences between the two models are mainly associated with different EF and plant functional type (PFT) distributions, while differences in the seasonal cycle are mostly driven by differences in the leaf area index (LAI). Sensitivity tests are carried out for both models to explore the response to key variables or parameters such as LAI and light-dependent fraction (LDF). The ORCHIDEE and MEGAN emissions are differently affected by LAI changes, with a response highly depending on the compound considered. Scaling the LAI by a factor of 0.5 and 1.5 changes the isoprene global emission by ?21 and +8?% for ORCHIDEE and ?15 and +7?% for MEGAN, and affects the global emissions of monoterpenes by ?43 and +40?% for ORCHIDEE and ?11 and +3?% for MEGAN. Performing a further sensitivity test, forcing ORCHIDEE with the MODIS LAI, confirms the high sensitivity of the ORCHIDEE emission module to LAI variation. We find that MEGAN is more sensitive to variation in the LDF parameter than ORCHIDEE. Our results highlight the importance and the need to further explore the BVOC emission estimate variability and the potential for using models to investigate the estimated uncertainties.
机译:全球植被模型(组织动态生态系统中的碳和水文)开发了新的生物挥发性有机化合物(BVOC)排放方案,其中包括延长的生物发射化合物列表,更新的排放因子(EF),几乎所有化合物和多层辐射方案的光依赖性。在2000 - 2009年期间,使用此模型,我们估计了465?TG的平均排放量为465?C?1用于异戊二烯,107.5?TG?C?YRα1用于单波利,38?TG?C?YR?1对于甲醇,25℃?C?1α1,丙酮和24℃?1〜Rα1,用于筛分萜烯。模型结果与最先进的排放预算进行了比较,表明陆战排放量在已发表的估计范围内。兰田BVOC排放与自然(梅根)的气体和气溶胶排放模型进行比较,这主要用于整个生物发射和大气化学群落。我们的研究结果表明,两种型号的全球排放预算一般来说,一般来说很好。对于异戊二烯,甲醇的8μm,甲醇的8倍,丙酮高出17℃,18〜%,对于单萜的甲基,18〜%,对于梅根估计而言,对于塞基特百分比,39倍。在区域规模中,陆战和梅根之间的最大差异在北方温带地区的异戊二烯突出显示,其中陆战排放量较高21?TG?C?1,以及单波通,它们更高4.4和10.2? tg?c?c?北部和南部的热带地区的1岁,与梅根相比。两种模型之间的地理差异主要与不同的EF和植物功能型(PFT)分布相关,而季节性周期的差异主要由叶面积指数(LAI)的差异驱动。对两种模型进行敏感性测试,以探索对键变量的响应或诸如LAI和依赖依赖性分数(LDF)的参数。陆战队和梅根排放受到赖赖变动的不同影响,这是根据所考虑的化合物的高度响应。将LAI缩放为0.5和1.5因果机的异戊二烯全球排放而变化,对梅根和+8 +%的梅花,并影响了梅根的15和+7?%,并影响了莫泰普尔斯的全球排放量?43和+40?兰田的百分比和?11和+3?%梅根。进行进一步的敏感性测试,用MODIS LAI迫使陆域陆域,确认陆域发射模块对赖赖变异的高灵敏度。我们发现Megan对LDF参数的变化比陆战略更敏感。我们的结果突出了进一步探索BVOC排放估计变异性的重要性,需要使用模型来研究估计的不确定性的可能性。

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