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On the representation of major stratospheric warmings in reanalyses

机译:关于Reanalyses主要平流层泥浆的代表

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Major sudden stratospheric warmings (SSWs) represent one of the most abrupt phenomena of the boreal wintertime stratospheric variability, and constitute the clearest example of coupling between the stratosphere and the troposphere. A good representation of SSWs in climate models is required to reduce their biases and uncertainties in future projections of stratospheric variability. The ability of models to reproduce these phenomena is usually assessed with just one reanalysis. However, the number of reanalyses has increased in the last decade and their own biases may affect the model evaluation. Here we compare the representation of the main aspects of SSWs across reanalyses. The examination of their main characteristics in the pre- and post-satellite periods reveals that reanalyses behave very similarly in both periods. However, discrepancies are larger in the pre-satellite period compared to afterwards, particularly for the NCEP-NCAR reanalysis. All datasets reproduce similarly the specific features of wavenumber-1 and wavenumber-2 SSWs. A good agreement among reanalyses is also found for triggering mechanisms, tropospheric precursors, and surface response. In particular, differences in blocking precursor activity of SSWs across reanalyses are much smaller than between blocking definitions.
机译:主要突然突然的平流层升温(SSW)代表了北方冬季流程层变异性最突然的现象之一,并构成了平流层和对流层之间的耦合的最明显的例子。需要在气候模型中获得SSW的良好代表,以降低其在流程层变异性的未来预测中的偏差和不确定性。模型再现这些现象的能力通常用一个再分析评估。然而,过去十年的Reanalyses的数量增加,他们自己的偏见可能会影响模型评估。在这里,我们将SSWS跨Reanalyses的主要方面的代表进行比较。在卫星前期和后期的主要特征的检查表明,在这两个时期,Reanalyses的表现非常相似。然而,与之后,卫星前期差异较大,特别是对于NCEP-NCAR再分析。所有数据集同样再现波数-1和波浪扬声器-2 SSW的特定特征。 Reanalyses之间的良好一致性也被发现用于触发机制,对流层前体和表面反应。特别地,跨越Reanalyses阻断SSW的前体活性的差异远小于阻塞定义之间。

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