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Observational evidence of temperature trends at two levels in the surface layer

机译:表面层中两个水平的温度趋势的观察证据

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Long-term surface air temperatures at 1.5?m screen level over land are used in calculating a global average surface temperature trend. This global trend is used by the IPCC and others to monitor, assess, and describe global warming or warming hiatus. Current knowledge of near-surface temperature trends with respect to height, however, is limited and inadequately understood because surface temperature observations at different heights in the surface layer of the world are rare especially from a high-quality and long-term climate monitoring network. Here we use high-quality two-height Oklahoma Mesonet observations, synchronized in time, fixed in height, and situated in relatively flat terrain, to assess temperature trends and differentiating temperature trends with respect to heights (i.e., near-surface lapse rate trend) over the period 1997 to 2013. We show that the near-surface lapse rate has significantly decreased with a trend of ?0.18?±?0.03?°C (10?m)?1 per decade indicating that the 9?m height temperatures increased faster than temperatures at the 1.5?m screen level and/or conditions at the 1.5?m height cooled faster than at the 9?m height. However, neither of the two individual height temperature trends by themselves were statistically significant. The magnitude of lapse rate trend is greatest under lighter winds at night. Nighttime lapse rate trends were significantly more negative than daytime lapse rate trends and the average lapse rate trend was three times more negative under calm conditions than under windy conditions. Our results provide the first observational evidence of near-surface temperature changes with respect to height that could enhance the assessment of climate model predictions.
机译:在陆地上的长期表面空气温度为1.5Ω米屏幕水平,用于计算全局平均表面温度趋势。该全球趋势由IPCC和其他趋势监控,评估和描述全球变暖或变暖的中断。然而,由于世界层面的表面层的不同高度的表面温度观察,所以近似地理解高度的近表面温度趋势的目前的知识是有限的,并且是罕见的,特别是来自高质量和长期的气候监测网络。在这里,我们使用高质量的双高俄克拉荷马Mesonet观测,并在时间内同步,固定在高度,并且位于相对平坦的地形中,以评估温度趋势和区分温度趋势,相对于高度(即,近表面流逝速率趋势)在1997年至2013年期间。我们表明,近表面流逝率随着潮流而言,近似表面流逝率大幅下降,0.18?±0.03?°C(10?M)?1(10?M)?1,表明9?M高温温度增加比1.5?M屏幕水平的温度更快,/或1.5米高度的条件比在9?M高度上更快地冷却。然而,两个单独的高度温度趋势本身都没有统计学意义。在夜间较浅的风中,流逝率趋势的大小是最大的。夜间流逝率趋势比白天失误率趋势明显更大,平均流逝率趋势在平静的条件下的平均潮流趋势比在风的条件下的平静条件下降三倍。我们的结果提供了对高度的近表面温度变化的第一个观察证据,可以增强气候模型预测的评估。

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