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Local and remote temperature response of regional SO2 emissions

机译:区域SO2排放的局部和远程温度响应

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Short-lived anthropogenic climate forcers (SLCFs), such as sulfate aerosols, affect both climate and air quality. Despite being short-lived, these forcers do not affect temperatures only locally; regions far away from the emission sources are also affected. Climate metrics are often used in a policy context to compare the climate impact of different anthropogenic forcing agents. These metrics typically relate a forcing change in a certain region with a temperature change in another region and thus often require a separate model to convert emission changes to radiative forcing (RF) changes. In this study, we used a coupled Earth system model, NorESM (Norwegian Earth System Model), to calculate emission-to-temperature-response metrics for sulfur dioxide (SO2) emission changes in four different policy-relevant regions: Europe (EU), North America (NA), East Asia (EA) and South Asia (SA). We first increased the SO2 emissions in each individual region by an amount giving approximately the same global average radiative forcing change (?0.45Wm?2). The global mean temperature change per unit sulfur emission compared to the control experiment was independent of emission region and equal to ~0.006K(TgSyr?1)?1. On a regional scale, the Arctic showed the largest temperature response in all experiments. The second largest temperature change occurred in the region of the imposed emission increase, except when South Asian emissions were changed; in this experiment, the temperature response was approximately the same in South Asia and East Asia. We also examined the non-linearity of the temperature response by removing all anthropogenic SO2 emissions over Europe in one experiment. In this case, the temperature response (both global and regional) was twice that in the corresponding experiment with a European emission increase. This non-linearity in the temperature response is one of many uncertainties associated with the use of simplified climate metrics.
机译:短暂的人为气候迫害者(SLCFS),如硫酸盐气溶胶,影响气候和空气质量。尽管存在短暂的生活,但这些强制性不会影响当地的温度;远离排放来源的地区也受到影响。气候指标通常用于政策背景下,以比较不同人为强制性药剂的气候影响。这些度量通常涉及在另一个区域中的温度变化的特定区域中的强迫变化,因此通常需要单独的模型来转换排放变化以辐射强制(RF)变化。在这项研究中,我们使用了耦合地球系统模型,全部(挪威地球系统模型),计算四个不同政策相关地区的二氧化硫(SO2)排放变化的排放到温度 - 反应度量:欧洲(欧盟) ,北美(NA),东亚(EA)和南亚(SA)。我们首先将每个单独的区域的SO2排放量增加一定的量,给出了大约相同的全球平均水平辐射强制变化(?0.45WM?2)。与对照实验相比,每单位硫排放的全局平均温度变化与排放区域无关,等于〜0.006K(Tgsyr?1)?1。在区域规模上,北极表明所有实验中的最大温度响应。除南亚排放发生后,施加的排放等地区发生了第二大温度变化;在该实验中,南亚和东亚的温度响应大致相同。我们还通过在一个实验中除去欧洲的所有人为SO2排放来检查温度响应的非线性。在这种情况下,温度响应(全球和区域)是欧洲排放增加的相应实验中的两倍。温度响应中的这种非线性是与使用简化的气候指标相关的许多不确定性之一。

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