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Regional effects of atmospheric aerosols on temperature: an evaluation of an ensemble of online coupled models

机译:大气气溶胶对温度的区域影响:在线耦合模型的集合评估

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The climate effect of atmospheric aerosols is associated with their influence on the radiative budget of the Earth due to the direct aerosol–radiation interactions (ARIs) and indirect effects, resulting from aerosol–cloud–radiation interactions (ACIs). Online coupled meteorology–chemistry models permit the description of these effects on the basis of simulated atmospheric aerosol concentrations, although there is still some uncertainty associated with the use of these models. Thus, the objective of this work is to assess whether the inclusion of atmospheric aerosol radiative feedbacks of an ensemble of online coupled models improves the simulation results for maximum, mean and minimum temperature at 2?m over Europe. The evaluated models outputs originate from EuMetChem COST Action ES1004 simulations for Europe, differing in the inclusion (or omission) of ARI and ACI in the various models. The cases studies cover two important atmospheric aerosol episodes over Europe in the year 2010: (i) a heat wave event and a forest fire episode (July–August?2010) and (ii) a more humid episode including a Saharan desert dust outbreak in October?2010. The simulation results are evaluated against observational data from the E-OBS gridded database. The results indicate that, although there is only a slight improvement in the bias of the simulation results when including the radiative feedbacks, the spatiotemporal variability and correlation coefficients are improved for the cases under study when atmospheric aerosol radiative effects are included.
机译:由于气溶胶云 - 辐射相互作用(ACIS)导致,大气气溶胶的气候效应与其对地球辐射预算的影响有关。在线耦合气象 - 化学模型允许在模拟大气气溶胶浓度的基础上描述这些效果,尽管仍然存在与这些模型的使用相关的一些不确定性。因此,这项工作的目的是评估在线耦合模型的集合的含有大气气溶胶辐射反馈是否可提高模拟结果,以在欧洲的2米2米的最大,平均值和最小温度。评估的模型输出来自欧洲的Eumetchem成本动作ES1004模拟,在各种型号中的ARI和ACI的包含(或遗漏)不同。案件研究涵盖了2010年的欧洲的两个重要大气气溶胶集:(i)热浪事件和森林消防集团(八月 - 八月(八月)和(ii)更加潮湿的集,包括撒哈拉沙漠尘埃爆发十月?2010年。仿真结果是根据E-OBS网格数据库的观察数据评估的。结果表明,当在包括辐射反馈时,仿真结果的偏差仅存在略微改善,但是当包括大气气溶胶辐射效应时,在研究中的情况下提高了时空变异性和相关系数。
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