首页> 外文期刊>Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Discussions >Regional and seasonal radiative forcing by perturbations to aerosol and ozone precursor emissions
【24h】

Regional and seasonal radiative forcing by perturbations to aerosol and ozone precursor emissions

机译:区域和季节性辐射迫使扰动到气溶胶和臭氧前体排放

获取原文
           

摘要

Predictions of temperature and precipitation responses to changes in the anthropogenic emissions of climate forcers require the quantification of the radiative forcing exerted by those changes. This task is particularly difficult for near-term climate forcers like aerosols, methane, and ozone precursors because their short atmospheric lifetimes cause regionally and temporally inhomogeneous radiative forcings. This study quantifies specific radiative forcing, defined as the radiative forcing per unit change in mass emitted, for eight near-term climate forcers as a function of their source regions and the season of emission by using dedicated simulations by four general circulation and chemistry-transport models. Although differences in the representation of atmospheric chemistry and radiative processes in different models impede the creation of a uniform dataset, four distinct findings can be highlighted. Firstly, specific radiative forcing for sulfur dioxide and organic carbon are stronger when aerosol–cloud interactions are taken into account. Secondly, there is a lack of agreement on the sign of the specific radiative forcing of volatile organic compound perturbations, suggesting they are better avoided in climate mitigation strategies. Thirdly, the strong seasonalities of the specific radiative forcing of most forcers allow strategies to minimise positive radiative forcing based on the timing of emissions. Finally, European and shipping emissions exert stronger aerosol specific radiative forcings compared to East Asia where the baseline is more polluted. This study can therefore form the basis for further refining climate mitigation options based on regional and seasonal controls on emissions. For example, reducing summertime emissions of black carbon and wintertime emissions of sulfur dioxide in the more polluted regions is a possible way to improve air quality without weakening the negative radiative forcing of aerosols.
机译:温度和降水应对对气候疾病的人为排放的变化的预测需要定量这些变化施加的辐射强制。这种任务对于近期气候施用尤其困难,例如气溶胶,甲烷和臭氧前体,因为它们的短大气寿命导致区域和时间不均匀的辐射强制。本研究量化了特定的辐射强制,定义为每单位散热的辐射迫使批量排放,八个近期气候迫使人员作为其源区的函数和通过使用四个一般循环和化学运输的专用模拟来发射季节楷模。虽然在不同模型中的大气化学和辐射过程的差异妨碍了均匀数据集的创建,但是可以突出四个不同的发现。首先,当考虑气溶胶云相互作用时,对二氧化硫和有机碳的特异性辐射强制较强。其次,缺乏关于挥发性有机化合物扰动的特异性辐射迫使扰动的迹象吻合,这表明它们在气候缓解策略中更好地避免。第三,大多数迫使人员的具体辐射强制强势季节性允许战略,以基于排放的时机最大限度地减少积极的辐射强制。最后,与东亚相比,欧洲和航运排放施加强烈的气溶胶特异性辐射强制,基线更加污染。因此,本研究可以基于区域和季节性控制对排放的进一步精炼气候缓解期权的基础。例如,在更污染的区域中减少黑碳和二氧化硫硫的冬季排放是提高空气质量的可能方法,而不会削弱气溶胶的负面辐射强制。

著录项

获取原文

客服邮箱:kefu@zhangqiaokeyan.com

京公网安备:11010802029741号 ICP备案号:京ICP备15016152号-6 六维联合信息科技 (北京) 有限公司©版权所有
  • 客服微信

  • 服务号