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Evaluation of modeling NO2 concentrations driven by satellite-derived and bottom-up emission inventories using in situ measurements over China

机译:卫星衍生和自下而上排放库存驱动的NO2浓度的评价使用原位测量在中国使用

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Chemical transport models together with emission inventories are widely used to simulate NO2 concentrations over China, but validation of the simulations with in situ measurements has been extremely limited. Here we use ground measurements obtained from the air quality monitoring network recently developed by the Ministry of Environmental Protection of China to validate modeling surface NO2 concentrations from the CHIMERE regional chemical transport model driven by the satellite-derived DECSO and the bottom-up MIX emission inventories. We applied a correction factor to the observations to account for the interferences of other oxidized nitrogen compounds (NOz), based on the modeled ratio of NO2 to NOz. The model accurately reproduces the spatial variability in NO2 from in situ measurements, with a spatial correlation coefficient of over 0.7 for simulations based on both inventories. A negative and positive bias is found for the simulation with the DECSO (slope??=??0.74 and 0.64 for the daily mean and daytime only) and the MIX (slope??=??1.3 and 1.1) inventories, respectively, suggesting an underestimation and overestimation of NOx emissions from corresponding inventories. The bias between observed and modeled concentrations is reduced, with the slope dropping from 1.3 to 1.0 when the spatial distribution of NOx emissions in the DECSO inventory is applied as the spatial proxy for the MIX inventory, which suggests an improvement of the distribution of emissions between urban and suburban or rural areas in the DECSO inventory compared to that used in the bottom-up inventory. A rough estimate indicates that the observed concentrations, from sites predominantly placed in the populated urban areas, may be 10–40?% higher than the corresponding model grid cell mean. This reduces the estimate of the negative bias of the DECSO-based simulation to the range of ?30 to 0?% on average and more firmly establishes that the MIX inventory is biased high over major cities. The performance of the model is comparable over seasons, with a slightly worse spatial correlation in summer due to the difficulties in resolving the more active NOx photochemistry and larger concentration gradients in summer by the model. In addition, the model well captures the daytime diurnal cycle but shows more significant disagreement between simulations and measurements during nighttime, which likely produces a positive model bias of about 15?% in the daily mean concentrations. This is most likely related to the uncertainty in vertical mixing in the model at night.
机译:化学传输模式与排放清单一起被广泛用于模拟NO2浓度超过中国,但在实地测量与仿真验证已极为有限。这里我们使用由卫星衍生DECSO和自下而上的混合排放清单驱动的CHIMERE区域化学输送模式从空气质量监测网络获得最近开发由中国环境保护部,以验证建模曲面NO2浓度地面测量。我们应用一个校正因子的意见以考虑其他氧化的氮化合物的干扰(NOZ),基于二氧化氮以NOZ建模比。该模型精确地再现中的NO 2的空间变异从现场测量,具有超过0.7基于两个模拟库存的空间相关系数。负和正偏压找到符合模拟与DECSO(斜率?? = ?? 0.74和0.64的日平均只有白天)和MIX(斜率'= 1.3 ??和1.1)存货,分别,提示从对应的库存的NOx排放的低估和高估。观察和模型化浓度之间的偏差减小,与来自1.3的斜率下降到1.0时的NO x排放中的DECSO库存的空间分布作为用于MIX库存空间代理,这表明排放之间的分布的改进被应用城市和在DECSO库存郊区或农村地区相比,在自下而上的库存使用。粗略估计表明,所观察到的浓度,从网站主要放置在人口稠密的城市地区,可以更高10-40?%比相应的模型网格单元平均值。这降低了基于DECSO仿真的负偏压的?30〜0?%,平均的估计,更坚定地确立了MIX库存偏向高过全国各大城市。该模型的性能是随季节相当,在夏季略差空间相关性是由于由模型解决夏季更具活性的NOx光化学和较大的浓度梯度的困难。此外,该模型能很好地捕捉模拟和测量之间在夜间的日平均浓度白天昼夜循环,但显示更加显著的分歧,这可能会产生大约15阳模偏置?%。这是最有可能与晚上在模型垂直混合的不确定性。

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