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Aerosol exposure versus aerosol cooling of climate: what is the optimal emission reduction strategy for human health?

机译:气溶胶暴露与气候气溶胶冷却气候:人类健康的最佳排放减少策略是什么?

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Particles, climate change, and health have thought-provoking interactions. Air pollution is one of the largest environmental problems concerning human health. On the other hand, aerosol particles can have a cooling effect on climate and a reduction of those emissions may result in an increased temperature globally, which in turn may have negative health effects. The objective of this work was to investigate the "total health effects" of aerosol emissions, which include both exposure to particles and consequences for climate change initiated by particles. As a case study the "total health effect" from ship emissions was derived by subtracting the number of deaths caused by exposure with the estimated number of lives saved from the cooling effect of the emissions. The analysis showed that, with current level of scientific understanding, it could not be determined whether ship emissions are negative or positive for human health on a short time scale. This first attempt to approximate the combined effect of particle emissions on health shows that reductions of particulate air pollution will in some cases (black carbon) have win-win effects on health and climate, but sometimes also cause a shift from particle exposure-related health effects towards an increasing risk of health consequences from climate change. Thus, measures to reduce aerosol emissions have to be coupled with climate change mitigation actions to achieve a full health benefit on a global level.
机译:粒子,气候变化和健康有思想挑衅互动。空气污染是有关人类健康的最大环境问题之一。另一方面,气溶胶颗粒可以对气候进行冷却效果,并且减少这些排放可能导致全局的温度增加,这又具有负性健康效果。这项工作的目的是调查气溶胶排放的“综合健康效应”,其包括暴露于颗粒的颗粒和后果,由颗粒引发气候变化。作为一个案例研究,通过减去由估计的寿命造成的避免的避免率为排放的冷却效应所造成的死亡人数来源。分析表明,随着当前科学理解水平,无法确定船舶排放是否对人类健康的负面或阳性。这首先尝试近似粒子排放对健康的综合影响表明,在某些情况下,颗粒状空气污染的减少将在某些情况下(黑碳)对健康和气候产生双赢的影响,但有时也会导致粒子暴露相关的健康转变影响气候变化的健康后果风险的影响。因此,减少气溶胶排放的措施必须与气候变化缓解措施相结合,以在全球层面上实现全面的健康效益。

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