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Revisiting the steering principal of tropical cyclone motion in a numerical experiment

机译:在数值实验中重新审视热带气旋运动的转向原理

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The steering principle of tropical cyclone motion has been applied to tropical cyclone forecasting and research for nearly 100 years. Two fundamental questions remain unanswered. One is why the steering flow plays a dominant role in tropical cyclone motion, and the other is when tropical cyclone motion deviates considerably from the steering. A high-resolution numerical experiment was conducted with the tropical cyclone in a typical large-scale monsoon trough over the western North Pacific. The simulated tropical cyclone experiences two eyewall replacement processes. Based on the potential vorticity tendency (PVT) diagnostics, this study demonstrates that the conventional steering, which is calculated over a certain radius from the tropical cyclone center in the horizontal and a deep pressure layer in the vertical, plays a dominant role in tropical cyclone motion since the contributions from other processes are largely cancelled out due to the coherent structure of tropical cyclone circulation. Resulting from the asymmetric dynamics of the tropical cyclone inner core, the trochoidal motion around the mean tropical cyclone track cannot be accounted for by the conventional steering. The instantaneous tropical cyclone motion can considerably deviate from the conventional steering that approximately accounts for the combined effect of the contribution of the advection of the symmetric potential vorticity component by the asymmetric flow and the contribution from the advection of the wave-number-one potential vorticity component by the symmetric flow.
机译:热带气旋运动的转向原理已应用于近100年的热带气旋预报和研究。两个基本问题仍未得到答复。一个是为什么转向流动在热带气旋运动中起着主导作用,另一个是当热带气旋运动偏离转向时。高分辨率数值实验与热带气旋在西北太平洋西部典型的大型季风槽中进行。模拟的热带气旋体验了两个眼罩替代过程。基于潜在的涡流倾向(PVT)诊断,该研究表明,传统的转向,其在垂直水平和深压层中的热带气旋中心在一定半径上计算的传统转向在热带气旋中起着主导作用由于热带气旋循环的相干结构,因此由于其他过程的贡献主要被取消。由热带旋风内核心的不对称动力学产生,通过传统的转向不能占平均热带气旋轨道周围的牵引运动。瞬时热带气旋运动可以显着地偏离传统的转向,即大致估计对称潜在涡度组分的整流贡献的综合效应通过不对称流量和波浪数 - 一个潜在涡度的平流的贡献组件通过对称流。

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