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Photovoltaic power potential in West Africa using long-term satellite data

机译:使用长期卫星数据的西非光伏电位

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This paper addresses long-term historical changes in solar irradiance in West Africa (3 to 20°N and 20°W to 16°E) and the implications for photovoltaic systems. Here, we use satellite irradiance (Surface Solar Radiation Data Set – Heliosat, Edition?2.1 – SARAH-2.1) and temperature data from a reanalysis (ERA5) to derive photovoltaic yields. Based on 35?years of data (1983–2017), the temporal and regional variability as well as long-term trends in global and direct horizontal irradiance are analyzed. Furthermore, a detailed time series analysis is undertaken at four locations. According to the high spatial resolution SARAH-2.1 data record (0.05°×0.05°), solar irradiance is largest (up to a 300W?m?2 daily average) in the Sahara and the Sahel zone with a positive trend (up to 5W?m?2 per decade) and a lower temporal variability (75W?m?2 between 1983 and 2017 for daily averages). In contrast, the solar irradiance is lower in southern West Africa (between 200W?m?2 and 250W?m?2) with a negative trend (up to ?5W?m?2 per decade) and a higher temporal variability (up to 150W?m?2). The positive trend in the north is mostly connected to the dry season, whereas the negative trend in the south occurs during the wet season. Both trends show 95% significance. Photovoltaic (PV) yields show a strong meridional gradient with the lowest values of around 4kWh??kWp?1 in southern West Africa and values of more than 5.5kWh??kWp?1 in the Sahara and Sahel zone.
机译:本文涉及西非太阳能辐照度(3至20°N和20°W至16°E)的长期历史变化以及对光伏系统的影响。在这里,我们使用卫星辐照度(表面太阳辐射数据集 - Heliosat,版本?2.1 - Sarah-2.1)和来自Reanalysis(ERA5)的温度数据来获得光伏产量。基于35年的数据(1983-2017),分析了全球和直接水平辐照度的时间和区域变异性以及长期趋势。此外,在四个地点进行了详细的时间序列分析。根据高空间分辨率Sarah-2.1数据记录(0.05°×0.05°),太阳辐照度最大(撒哈拉和萨赫尔区最大(高达300W?M?2平均平均值),具有积极趋势(最多5W每十年米?2米)和较低的时间变异性(75W?M?2在1983年间与2017年间日常平均值)。相比之下,西非南部的太阳辐照度较低(200W?M?2和250W?M?2),具有负趋势(最多?5W?M?2每十年2)和更高的时间变异性(最多150w?m?2)。北方的积极趋势大多连接到旱季,而南部的负面趋势发生在潮湿的季节。这两个趋势都显示出95%的重要性。光伏(PV)产量显示出强大的子午梯度,最低值约为4kWh ?? KWP?1在南部非洲的价值超过5.5kWh ?? kwp?1在撒哈拉和萨赫区。

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