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Surface ozone and its precursors at Summit, Greenland: comparison between observations and model simulations

机译:表面臭氧及其前兆在峰会,格陵兰岛:观测和模型模拟之间的比较

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Recent studies have shown significant challenges for atmospheric models to simulate tropospheric ozone (O3) and its precursors in the Arctic. In this study, ground-based data were combined with a global 3-D chemical transport model (GEOS-Chem) to examine the abundance and seasonal variations of O3 and its precursors at Summit, Greenland (72.34°?N, 38.29°?W; 3212?m?a.s.l.). Model simulations for atmospheric nitrogen oxides (NOx), peroxyacetyl nitrate (PAN), ethane (C2H6), propane (C3H8), carbon monoxide (CO), and O3 for the period July?2008–June?2010 were compared with observations. The model performed well in simulating certain species (such as CO and C3H8), but some significant discrepancies were identified for other species and further investigated. The model generally underestimated NOx and PAN (by ?~??50 and 30?%, respectively) for March–June. Likely contributing factors to the low bias include missing NOx and PAN emissions from snowpack chemistry in the model. At the same time, the model overestimated NOx mixing ratios by more than a factor of?2 in wintertime, with episodic NOx mixing ratios up to 15 times higher than the typical NOx levels at Summit. Further investigation showed that these simulated episodic NOx spikes were always associated with transport events from Europe, but the exact cause remained unclear. The model systematically overestimated C2H6 mixing ratios by approximately 20?% relative to observations. This discrepancy can be resolved by decreasing anthropogenic C2H6 emissions over Asia and the US by ?~?20?%, from 5.4 to 4.4?Tg?year?1. GEOS-Chem was able to reproduce the seasonal variability of O3 and its spring maximum. However, compared with observations, it underestimated surface O3 by approximately 13?% (6.5?ppbv) from April to July. This low bias appeared to be driven by several factors including missing snowpack emissions of NOx and nitrous acid in the model, the weak simulated stratosphere-to-troposphere exchange flux of O3 over the summit, and the coarse model resolution.
机译:最近的研究表明了大气模型的显着挑战,以模拟北极地区的对流层臭氧(O3)及其前体。在本研究中,基于地面数据与全球3-D化学传输模型(Geos-Chem)相结合,以检查绿地峰会(72.34°= 3,38.29°38.29°38.29°Δn)的O3及其前体的丰度和季节变化; 3212?m?asl)。与观测结果相比,氧化氮氧化物(NOx),过氧乙酰乙酯(锅),乙烷(C2H6),丙烷(C​​2H6),丙烷(C​​3H8),一氧化碳(CO)和O3的模型模拟。模拟在模拟某些物种(例如CO和C3H8)时表现良好,但是针对其他物种确定了一些显着的差异并进一步调查。该模型通常低估NOx和PAN(分别为3月份(分别为50和30?%)。可能对低偏差的可能性导致因素包括模型中的积雪化学的缺失NOx和PAN排放。同时,在冬季冬季,型号高估NOx混合比率在冬季,具有比峰会上的典型NOx水平高的15倍。进一步调查表明,这些模拟的发作性NOx尖峰总是与欧洲的运输事件相关,但确切的原因仍然不清楚。该模型相对于观察分析系统地高估了C2H6混合比率约20?%。通过减少亚洲和美国的人为C2H6排放来解决这种差异?〜20?%,从5.4到4.4?TG?一年?1。 Geos-Chem能够再现O3的季节性变化及其最大值。然而,与观察结果相比,从4月至7月,它低估了大约13℃(6.5?PPBV)的表面O3。这种低偏差似乎是由若干因素驱动的,包括模型中缺少NOx和亚硝酸的缺失的积雪排放,概述O3的弱模拟平流层 - 对流层交换通量,以及粗糙的模型分辨率。

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