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Aerosol indirect effects from shipping emissions: sensitivity studies with the global aerosol-climate model ECHAM-HAM

机译:航空源间间接影响来自运输排放:敏感性研究与全球气溶胶气候模型回声 - 火腿

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In this study, we employ the global aerosol-climate model ECHAM-HAM to globally assess aerosol indirect effects (AIEs) resulting from shipping emissions of aerosols and aerosol precursor gases. We implement shipping emissions of sulphur dioxide (SO2), black carbon (BC) and particulate organic matter (POM) for the year 2000 into the model and quantify the model's sensitivity towards uncertainties associated with the emission parameterisation as well as with the shipping emissions themselves. Sensitivity experiments are designed to investigate (i) the uncertainty in the size distribution of emitted particles, (ii) the uncertainty associated with the total amount of emissions, and (iii) the impact of reducing carbonaceous emissions from ships. We use the results from one sensitivity experiment for a detailed discussion of shipping-induced changes in the global aerosol system as well as the resulting impact on cloud properties. From all sensitivity experiments, we find AIEs from shipping emissions to range from ?0.32 ± 0.01 W m?2 to ?0.07 ± 0.01 W m?2 (global mean value and inter-annual variability as a standard deviation). The magnitude of the AIEs depends much more on the assumed emission size distribution and subsequent aerosol microphysical interactions than on the magnitude of the emissions themselves. It is important to note that although the strongest estimate of AIEs from shipping emissions in this study is relatively large, still much larger estimates have been reported in the literature before on the basis of modelling studies. We find that omitting just carbonaceous particle emissions from ships favours new particle formation in the boundary layer. These newly formed particles contribute just about as much to the CCN budget as the carbonaceous particles would, leaving the globally averaged AIEs nearly unaltered compared to a simulation including carbonaceous particle emissions from ships.
机译:在这项研究中,我们采用了全球气溶胶气候模型ECHAM-HAM在全球范围内评估气溶胶间接效应(认证的独立实体)从航运气溶胶和气溶胶前体气体的排放造成。我们将2000年的二氧化硫(SO2),黑碳(BC)和颗粒状有机物质(POM)的运输排放在模型中,并量化模型对与发射参数化相关的不确定性以及运输排放本身的敏感性。敏感性实验旨在调查(i)尺寸分布的不确定度,(ii)与排放总量相关的不确定性,(iii)减少碳质排放的影响。我们使用一个灵敏度实验的结果进行详细讨论全球气溶胶系统的运输诱导的变化以及对云属性的产生影响。从所有敏感性试验,我们发现从运输排放量范围从?0.32±0.01脉冲W M?2至0.07±认证的独立实体为0.01W毫升2(全局平均值和年度间变异性为标准偏差)。阳离子的大小在假定的发射尺寸分布和随后的气溶胶微生物学相互作用上的程度上更多地取决于排放物体的大小。值得注意的是,虽然本研究中运输排放的Aies最强的估计相对较大,但在造型研究的基础上,文献中仍然报告了更大的估计。我们发现,只省略船舶的碳质颗粒排放才能在边界层中获得新的粒子形成。这些新形成的颗粒随着碳质颗粒的含量贡献到CCN预算中,与船舶的碳质颗粒排放的模拟相比,将全球平均AiE几乎没有干扰。

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