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Top-down constraints on global N2O emissions at optimal resolution: application of a?new dimension reduction technique

机译:全球N2O排放的自上而下限制在最优分辨率下:应用A的应用

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We present top-down constraints on global monthly N2O emissions for 2011 from a?multi-inversion approach and an ensemble of surface observations. The inversions employ the GEOS-Chem adjoint and an array of aggregation strategies to test how well current observations can constrain the spatial distribution of global N2O emissions. The strategies include (1) a?standard 4D-Var inversion at native model resolution (4°?×?5°), (2) an inversion for six continental and three ocean regions, and (3) a?fast 4D-Var inversion based on a?novel dimension reduction technique employing randomized singular value decomposition (SVD). The optimized global flux ranges from 15.9?Tg?N?yr?1 (SVD-based inversion) to 17.5–17.7?Tg?N?yr?1 (continental-scale, standard 4D-Var inversions), with the former better capturing the extratropical N2O background measured during the HIAPER Pole-to-Pole Observations?(HIPPO) airborne campaigns. We find that the tropics provide a?greater contribution to the global N2O flux than is predicted by the prior bottom-up inventories, likely due to underestimated agricultural and oceanic emissions. We infer an overestimate of natural soil emissions in the extratropics and find that predicted emissions are seasonally biased in northern midlatitudes. Here, optimized fluxes exhibit a?springtime peak consistent with the timing of spring fertilizer and manure application, soil thawing, and elevated soil moisture. Finally, the inversions reveal a?major emission underestimate in the US Corn Belt in the bottom-up inventory used here. We extensively test the impact of initial conditions on the analysis and recommend formally optimizing the initial N2O distribution to avoid biasing the inferred fluxes. We find that the SVD-based approach provides a?powerful framework for deriving emission information from N2O observations: by defining the optimal resolution of the solution based on the information content of the inversion, it provides spatial information that is lost when aggregating to political or geographic regions, while also providing more temporal information than a?standard 4D-Var inversion.
机译:我们从A的全球每月N2O排放量出现自上而下的限制来自a的?多反转方法和表面观察的集合。反转采用Geos-Chem伴奏和一系列聚合策略,以测试当前观察的程度如何限制全球N​​2O排放的空间分布。该策略包括(1)a?标准的4d-var反转在本地模型分辨率(4°?×5°),(2)六个大陆和三个海洋区域的反转,(3)a?快4d-var基于a的反演 - 采用随机奇异值分解(SVD)的新型尺寸减少技术。优化的全局助焊剂从15.9?tg?n?n?1(基于SVD的反转)到17.5-17.7?tg?n?1(大陆尺度,标准4d-var enversions),以前更好地捕获在肝脏杆到极观察期间测量的越野N2O背景?(河马)空中运动。我们发现热带地区为全球N2O助焊剂提供了更大的贡献,而不是预先通过前自下而上库存预测,可能是由于低估的农业和海洋排放。我们推断出潜水机中的天然土壤排放量高估,发现预测的排放是北中位数季节性偏见的。在这里,优化的助熔剂表现出春天峰值与春季肥料和粪肥应用,土壤解冻和土壤水分升高的时序一致。最后,反转揭示了在这里使用的自下而上的库存中低估了美国玉米皮中的主要排放。我们广泛地测试初始条件对分析的影响,并建议正式优化初始N2O分布,以避免偏置推断的助焊剂。我们发现基于SVD的方法提供了一个强大的框架,用于从N2O观察中导出发射信息:通过根据反转信息定义解决方案的最佳分辨率,它提供了在政治或聚合时丢失的空间信息地理区域,同时还提供比a的时间信息更多的时间信息,而标准的4d-var反转。
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