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Upper tropospheric ice sensitivity to sulfate geoengineering

机译:上层对流层冰敏感性对硫酸盐的地理化

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Aside from the direct surface cooling that sulfate geoengineering (SG) would produce, investigations of the possible side effects of this method are still ongoing, such as the exploration of the effect that SG may have on upper tropospheric cirrus cloudiness. The goal of the present study is to better understand the SG thermodynamical effects on the freezing mechanisms leading to ice particle formation. This is undertaken by comparing SG model simulations against a Representative Concentration Pathway?4.5 (RCP4.5) reference case. In the first case, the aerosol-driven surface cooling is included and coupled to the stratospheric warming resulting from the aerosol absorption of terrestrial and solar near-infrared radiation. In a second SG perturbed case, the surface temperatures are kept unchanged with respect to the reference RCP4.5 case. When combined, surface cooling and lower stratospheric warming tend to stabilize the atmosphere, which decreases the turbulence and updraft velocities (?10% in our modeling study). The net effect is an induced cirrus thinning, which may then produce a significant indirect negative radiative forcing (RF). This RF would go in the same direction as the direct effect of solar radiation scattering by aerosols, and would consequently influence the amount of sulfur needed to counteract the positive RF due to greenhouse gases. In our study, given an 8Tg-SO2yr?1 equatorial injection into the lower stratosphere, an all-sky net tropopause RF of ?1.46Wm?2 is calculated, of which ?0.3Wm?2 (20%) is from the indirect effect on cirrus thinning (6% reduction in ice optical depth). When surface cooling is ignored, the ice optical depth reduction is lowered to 3%, with an all-sky net tropopause RF of ?1.4Wm?2, of which ?0.14Wm?2 (10%) is from cirrus thinning. Relative to the clear-sky net tropopause RF due to SG aerosols (?2.1Wm?2), the cumulative effect of the background clouds and cirrus thinning accounts for +0.6Wm?2, due to the partial compensation of large positive shortwave (+1.6Wm?2) and negative longwave adjustments (?1.0Wm?2). When surface cooling is ignored, the net cloud adjustment becomes +0.8Wm?2, with the shortwave contribution (+1.5Wm?2) almost twice as much as that of the longwave (?0.7Wm?2). This highlights the importance of including all of the dynamical feedbacks of SG aerosols.
机译:除了硫酸盐地理工程(SG)产生的直接表面冷却,该方法的可能副作用的研究仍在继续,例如探索SG可能对上部对流层卷云浑浊的效果。本研究的目的是更好地了解对导致冰颗粒形成的冷冻机制的SG热力学效应。这是通过将SG模型模拟与代表性浓度通路进行比较来进行的,这是通过Δ4.5(RCP4.5)参考案例进行。在第一种情况下,包括气溶胶驱动的表面冷却并与陆地和太阳近红外辐射的气溶胶吸收引起的平坦散热器耦合。在第二SG扰动情况下,表面温度相对于参考RCP4.5案例保持不变。当合并时,表面冷却和较低的平坦散热趋势倾向于稳定大气,这降低了湍流和上升速度(在我们的建模研究中的10%)。净效应是一种诱导的卷曲稀化,其可以产生显着的间接负辐射强制(RF)。该RF将与气溶胶的太阳辐射散射的直接效果相同,因此会影响抵消由于温室气体抵消阳性RF所需的硫的量。在我们的研究中,给出了一个8TG-SO2YR?1赤道注射到较低的平流层中,计算了一个全天的净流向RF的α1.46WM?2,其中?0.3WM?2(20%)来自间接效应卷曲变薄(冰光学深度减少6%)。当忽略表面冷却时,冰光学深度减少降低到3%,其中全天净净射孔射频射频?1.4WM?2,其中?0.14WM?2(10%)来自卷曲稀疏。由于SG气溶胶(?2.1WM?2),背景云和卷曲稀疏的累计效应占+ 0.6WM?2,因此由于大型阳性短波(+)的部分补偿(+ 1.6WM?2)和负龙波调整(?1.0WM?2)。当忽略表面冷却时,净云调节变为+ 0.8WM?2,短波贡献(+ 1.5WM?2)几乎是龙波(?0.7WM?2)的两倍。这突出了包括SG气溶胶的所有动态反馈的重要性。

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