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The POLARCAT Model Intercomparison Project (POLMIP): overview and evaluation with observations

机译:偏光板模型互通项目(POLMIP):概述和评估观察

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A model intercomparison activity was inspired by the large suite of observations of atmospheric composition made during the International Polar Year (2008) in the Arctic. Nine global and two regional chemical transport models participated in this intercomparison and performed simulations for 2008 using a common emissions inventory to assess the differences in model chemistry and transport schemes. This paper summarizes the models and compares their simulations of ozone and its precursors and presents an evaluation of the simulations using a variety of surface, balloon, aircraft and satellite observations. Each type of measurement has some limitations in spatial or temporal coverage or in composition, but together they assist in quantifying the limitations of the models in the Arctic and surrounding regions. Despite using the same emissions, large differences are seen among the models. The cloud fields and photolysis rates are shown to vary greatly among the models, indicating one source of the differences in the simulated chemical species. The largest differences among models, and between models and observations, are in NOy partitioning (PAN vs. HNO3) and in oxygenated volatile organic compounds (VOCs) such as acetaldehyde and acetone. Comparisons to surface site measurements of ethane and propane indicate that the emissions of these species are significantly underestimated. Satellite observations of NO2 from the OMI (Ozone Monitoring Instrument) have been used to evaluate the models over source regions, indicating anthropogenic emissions are underestimated in East Asia, but fire emissions are generally overestimated. The emission factors for wildfires in Canada are evaluated using the correlations of VOCs to CO in the model output in comparison to enhancement factors derived from aircraft observations, showing reasonable agreement for methanol and acetaldehyde but underestimate ethanol, propane and acetone, while overestimating ethane emission factors.
机译:在北极国际极性年(2008年)期间大型大气组合物的大型观察套件,启发了一种模型的互相活动。九个全球和两个区域化学传输模型参与了这一相互熟练的和2008年的模拟,使用普通排放库存来评估模型化学和运输计划的差异。本文总结了模型,并比较了它们的臭氧和其前体的模拟,并使用各种表面,气球,飞机和卫星观测提出了对模拟的评估。每种类型的测量在空间或时间覆盖或组合物中具有一些限制,但它们在一起,它们有助于量化北极和周围区域中模型的局限性。尽管使用了相同的排放,模型中可以看到大的差异。云场和光解率显示在模型中有很大差异,表明模拟化学物质的差异的一个来源。模型之间以及模型和观察之间的最大差异,在Noy分配(Pan与HNO3)和氧化挥发性有机化合物(VOC)中,例如乙醛和丙酮。对乙烷和丙烷的表面部位测量的比较表明这些物种的排放显着低估了。从OMI(臭氧监测仪)的NO2的卫星观察已被用于评估源区的模型,表明在东亚低估了人为排放,但抗火排放量通常被估量。加拿大野火的排放因子与模型输出中的VOC与飞机观察的增强因子相比,显示了甲醇和乙醛的合理一致性,但低估了乙烷排放因子的合理协议,而是低估乙醇,丙烷和丙酮。
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