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Multi-scale meteorological conceptual analysis of observed active fire hotspot activity and smoke optical depth in the Maritime Continent

机译:海洋大陆观察激活灭火热点活性和烟道光学深度的多尺度气象概念分析

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Much research and speculation exists about the meteorological and climatological impacts of biomass burning in the Maritime Continent (MC) of Indonesia and Malaysia, particularly during El Nino events. However, the MC hosts some of the world's most complicated meteorology, and we wish to understand how tropical phenomena at a range of scales influence observed burning activity. Using Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) derived active fire hotspot patterns coupled with aerosol data assimilation products, satellite based precipitation, and meteorological indices, the meteorological context of observed fire prevalence and smoke optical depth in the MC are examined. Relationships of burning and smoke transport to such meteorological and climatic factors as the interannual El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), El Nino Modoki, Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD), the seasonal migration of the Intertropical Convergence Zone, the 30–90 day Madden Julian Oscillation (MJO), tropical waves, tropical cyclone activity, and diurnal convection were investigated. A conceptual model of how all of the differing meteorological scales affect fire activity is presented. Each island and its internal geography have different sensitivities to these factors which are likely relatable to precipitation patterns and land use practices. At the broadest scales as previously reported, we corroborate ENSO is indeed the largest factor. However, burning is also enhanced by periods of El Nino Modoki. Conversely, IOD influences are unclear. While interannual phenomena correlate to total seasonal burning, the MJO largely controls when visible burning occurs. High frequency phenomena which are poorly constrained in models such as diurnal convection and tropical cyclone activity also have an impact which cannot be ignored. Finally, we emphasize that these phenomena not only influence burning, but also the observability of burning, further complicating our ability to assign reasonable emissions.
机译:大量的研究和猜测存在关于在印尼和马来西亚的海洋大陆(MC),特别是在厄尔尼诺事件的生物质燃烧的气象和气候的影响。然而,MC举办一些世界上最复杂的气象,我们希望在一个尺度范围内,以了解热带现象影响观察烧活动。使用中分辨率成像光谱仪(MODIS)导出加上气雾剂数据同化产物活性火热点图案,基于卫星的沉淀,和气象指数,观察到的火灾发生率的气象上下文和烟在MC光学厚度进行检查。燃烧的烟运输等气象和气候因素的年际厄尔尼诺 - 南方涛动(ENSO),厄尔尼诺Modoki,印度洋偶极子(IOD),热带辐合带的季节性迁移,30-90日劲爆的关系朱利安振荡(MJO),东风波,热带气旋活动,并昼夜对流进行了调查。如何所有这些不同的气象尺度的影响消防活动的概念模型。每个岛屿及其内部地域有不同的敏感性,这些因素都可能听上去很像降水分布的规律和土地利用的做法。在如先前报道最广泛的尺度,我们证实ENSO的确是最大的因素。然而,燃烧也受到厄尔尼诺Modoki时期增强。相反,IOD的影响目前还不清楚。虽然年际现象关联到总季节性燃烧,MJO很大程度上控制时,会发生明显的燃烧。这是在型号的限制,如白天对流和热带气旋活动不良高频现象也有其不可忽视的影响。最后,我们强调的是,这些现象不仅影响燃烧,但也可以是燃烧,进一步复杂化我们的合理分配排放的能力的可观性。

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